Onespaworld Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| OSW Stock | USD 19.05 0.06 0.32% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.266 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.216 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.99 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.11 | Wall Street Target Price 23.75 |
Using OneSpaWorld Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneSpaWorld Holdings from the perspective of OneSpaWorld Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OneSpaWorld Holdings using OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OneSpaWorld using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock price.
OneSpaWorld Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
OneSpaWorld Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OneSpaWorld Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OneSpaWorld Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OneSpaWorld Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when OneSpaWorld Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OneSpaWorld Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OneSpaWorld because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
OneSpaWorld Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 19.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OneSpaWorld contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OneSpaWorld Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With OneSpaWorld Holdings trading at USD 19.05, that is roughly USD 0.008811 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OneSpaWorld Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring OneSpaWorld Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
OneSpaWorld |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OneSpaWorld Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OneSpaWorld Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OneSpaWorld Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneSpaWorld Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneSpaWorld Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneSpaWorld Holdings' historical news coverage. OneSpaWorld Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.72 and 21.40, respectively. We have considered OneSpaWorld Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OneSpaWorld Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneSpaWorld Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
OneSpaWorld Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneSpaWorld Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneSpaWorld Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneSpaWorld Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.34 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.05 | 19.06 | 0.05 |
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OneSpaWorld Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February OneSpaWorld Holdings is traded for 19.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. OneSpaWorld is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on OneSpaWorld Holdings is about 727.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.04. The company reported the last year's revenue of 895.02 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 72.86 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 113.83 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out OneSpaWorld Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.OneSpaWorld Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OneSpaWorld Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OneSpaWorld Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneSpaWorld Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESCA | Escalade Incorporated | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.07 | 3.95 | (4.31) | 13.13 | |
| JOUT | Johnson Outdoors | (0.79) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.71 | (4.30) | 13.35 | |
| CLAR | Clarus Corp | 0.05 | 7 per month | 2.65 | 0.07 | 4.35 | (3.10) | 18.59 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | (0.44) | 6 per month | 1.61 | 0.01 | 4.52 | (2.75) | 8.62 | |
| AOUT | American Outdoor Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.22 | 9.00 | (3.86) | 28.44 | |
| LEAT | Leatt Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.86 | (2.64) | 8.17 | |
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific | (0.16) | 8 per month | 3.27 | 0.01 | 3.12 | (3.75) | 20.77 | |
| SIX | Six Flags Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | (2.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.78 | (2.20) | 12.14 | |
| MAT | Mattel Inc | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.10 | 2.58 | (2.33) | 18.31 | |
| SEAS | SeaWorld Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OneSpaWorld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneSpaWorld using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneSpaWorld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About OneSpaWorld Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of OneSpaWorld Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OneSpaWorld Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OneSpaWorld Holdings based on analysis of OneSpaWorld Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OneSpaWorld Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OneSpaWorld Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004628 | 0.004397 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.31 | 2.1 |
Story Coverage note for OneSpaWorld Holdings
The number of cover stories for OneSpaWorld Holdings depends on current market conditions and OneSpaWorld Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneSpaWorld Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneSpaWorld Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OneSpaWorld Holdings Short Properties
OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OneSpaWorld Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneSpaWorld Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneSpaWorld Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneSpaWorld Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57.4 M |
Additional Tools for OneSpaWorld Stock Analysis
When running OneSpaWorld Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OneSpaWorld Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OneSpaWorld Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OneSpaWorld Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OneSpaWorld Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OneSpaWorld Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.