Old National Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| ONB Stock | USD 20.96 0.76 3.76% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Old National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Old National Bancorp from the perspective of Old National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Old National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Old because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Old National after-hype prediction price | USD 20.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Old |
Old National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Old National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Old National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Old National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Old National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Old National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Old National's historical news coverage. Old National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.93 and 22.99, respectively. We have considered Old National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Old National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Old National Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Old National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Old National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Old National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Old National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.96 | 20.96 | 0.00 |
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Old National Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Old National Bancorp is traded for 20.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Old is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Old National is about 7807.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.96. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Old National Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2025. The firm had 105:100 split on the 3rd of January 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Old National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Old National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Old National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Old National's future price movements. Getting to know how Old National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Old National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IBCP | Independent Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.35 | (3.04) | 7.48 | |
| FFBC | First Financial Bancorp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.00 | (2.90) | 8.75 | |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.81 | (2.77) | 7.19 | |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.77 | (3.03) | 6.80 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.06 | 1.17 | (1.77) | 4.77 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.31 | (2.97) | 6.49 | |
| WTFCP | Wintrust Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 1.07 | 0.20 | (0.08) | 0.80 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.12 | (1.97) | 8.51 | |
| UMBF | UMB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.51 | (3.79) | 7.88 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.06 | (4.33) | 8.15 |
Old National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Old price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Old using various technical indicators. When you analyze Old charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Old National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Old National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Old National Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old National based on analysis of Old National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Old National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Old National's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Old National
The number of cover stories for Old National depends on current market conditions and Old National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Old National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Old National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Old National Short Properties
Old National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Old National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Old National Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Old National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Old National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 311 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Old Stock analysis
When running Old National's price analysis, check to measure Old National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old National is operating at the current time. Most of Old National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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