Inotiv Inc Stock Price Prediction
| NOTV Stock | USD 2.98 0.35 13.31% |
Momentum 28
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.21) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.28) | Wall Street Target Price 6.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using Inotiv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inotiv Inc from the perspective of Inotiv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inotiv using Inotiv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inotiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inotiv's stock price.
Inotiv Implied Volatility | 1.83 |
Inotiv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inotiv Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inotiv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inotiv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inotiv's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inotiv to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inotiv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inotiv after-hype prediction price | USD 2.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Inotiv |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inotiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inotiv After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inotiv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inotiv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inotiv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inotiv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inotiv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inotiv's historical news coverage. Inotiv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 10.56, respectively. We have considered Inotiv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inotiv is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inotiv Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inotiv Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inotiv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inotiv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inotiv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 7.91 | 0.33 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.98 | 2.65 | 11.07 |
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Inotiv Hype Timeline
Inotiv Inc is now traded for 2.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Inotiv is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -11.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Inotiv is about 10483.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.92. About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Inotiv Inc recorded a loss per share of 4.61. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Inotiv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inotiv Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inotiv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inotiv's future price movements. Getting to know how Inotiv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inotiv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FONR | Fonar | (0.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.50 | (2.86) | 10.83 | |
| BNR | Burning Rock Biotech | 0.34 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.52 | (10.25) | 26.46 | |
| SERA | Sera Prognostics | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.57 | (8.66) | 26.54 | |
| OLK | Olink Holding AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LMDX | LumiraDx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GTH | Genetron Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XGN | Exagen Inc | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 18.25 | (11.56) | 45.67 | |
| SHC | Sotera Health Co | (0.70) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.29 | (2.88) | 12.51 | |
| DRIO | DarioHealth Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 9.12 | 0.05 | 11.29 | (12.50) | 121.18 | |
| STIM | Neuronetics | (0.14) | 9 per month | 6.13 | 0.26 | 18.78 | (10.80) | 51.44 | |
| MDXH | MDxHealth SA ADR | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.16 | (6.38) | 18.31 |
Inotiv Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inotiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inotiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inotiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Inotiv Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inotiv stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inotiv Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inotiv based on analysis of Inotiv hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inotiv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inotiv's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003002 | 0.002852 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.1 | 0.098 |
Story Coverage note for Inotiv
The number of cover stories for Inotiv depends on current market conditions and Inotiv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inotiv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inotiv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inotiv Short Properties
Inotiv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inotiv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inotiv Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inotiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inotiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.4 M |
Additional Tools for Inotiv Stock Analysis
When running Inotiv's price analysis, check to measure Inotiv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inotiv is operating at the current time. Most of Inotiv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inotiv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inotiv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inotiv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.