New Hope Stock Price Prediction
| NHPEF Stock | USD 2.25 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using New HopeLtd hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Hope from the perspective of New HopeLtd response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New HopeLtd to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New HopeLtd after-hype prediction price | USD 2.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
New |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New HopeLtd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New HopeLtd After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New HopeLtd at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New HopeLtd or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of New HopeLtd, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New HopeLtd Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New HopeLtd's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New HopeLtd's historical news coverage. New HopeLtd's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered New HopeLtd's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New HopeLtd is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New HopeLtd is based on 3 months time horizon.
New HopeLtd Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New HopeLtd is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New HopeLtd backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New HopeLtd, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.25 | 2.25 | 0.00 |
|
New HopeLtd Hype Timeline
New HopeLtd is now traded for 2.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. New is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on New HopeLtd is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of New HopeLtd was now reported as 2.78. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of October 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out New HopeLtd Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New HopeLtd Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New HopeLtd's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New HopeLtd's future price movements. Getting to know how New HopeLtd's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New HopeLtd may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXXAF | Exxaro Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WHITF | Whitehaven Coal Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.88 | (3.87) | 12.22 | |
| ADOOY | Adaro Energy Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.37 | 0.08 | 11.41 | (14.36) | 81.58 | |
| TNGRF | Thungela Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.15 | (5.43) | 13.76 | |
| YZCHF | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.52 | |
| CSUAY | China Shenhua Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.70 | (2.99) | 8.88 | |
| YZCAY | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.13 | (2.64) | 10.79 | |
| PADEF | PT Adaro Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CCOZY | China Coal Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.44 | (4.48) | 22.92 | |
| TERCF | TerraCom Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 18.18 | (18.75) | 52.08 |
New HopeLtd Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About New HopeLtd Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New HopeLtd stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New Hope, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New HopeLtd based on analysis of New HopeLtd hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New HopeLtd's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New HopeLtd's related companies.
Story Coverage note for New HopeLtd
The number of cover stories for New HopeLtd depends on current market conditions and New HopeLtd's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New HopeLtd is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New HopeLtd's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
New HopeLtd Short Properties
New HopeLtd's future price predictability will typically decrease when New HopeLtd's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Hope often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New HopeLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New HopeLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 832.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 308 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.5 M |
Complementary Tools for New Pink Sheet analysis
When running New HopeLtd's price analysis, check to measure New HopeLtd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New HopeLtd is operating at the current time. Most of New HopeLtd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New HopeLtd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New HopeLtd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New HopeLtd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets |