Markforged Holding Corp Stock Price Prediction

MKFG Stock  USD 3.99  0.02  0.50%   
As of 2nd of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Markforged Holding's share price is approaching 36. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Markforged Holding, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Markforged Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Markforged Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Markforged Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Markforged Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Markforged Holding's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.31)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.00)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.94)
Wall Street Target Price
5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.48)
Using Markforged Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Markforged Holding Corp from the perspective of Markforged Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Markforged Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Markforged because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Markforged Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Markforged Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.8013.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.2813.83
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.322.552.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.5-0.5-0.5
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Markforged Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Markforged Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Markforged Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Markforged Holding Corp.

Markforged Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Markforged Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Markforged Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Markforged Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Markforged Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Markforged Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Markforged Holding's historical news coverage. Markforged Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 14.51, respectively. We have considered Markforged Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.99
3.96
After-hype Price
14.51
Upside
Markforged Holding is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Markforged Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Markforged Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Markforged Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Markforged Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Markforged Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.27 
10.55
  0.03 
  0.55 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.99
3.96
0.75 
52,750  
Notes

Markforged Holding Hype Timeline

Markforged Holding Corp is now traded for 3.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.55. Markforged is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.75%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.27%. The volatility of related hype on Markforged Holding is about 2432.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.54. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Markforged Holding Corp recorded a loss per share of 4.41. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 19th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Markforged Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Markforged Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Markforged Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Markforged Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Markforged Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Markforged Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSYSStratasys(0.19)8 per month 3.05  0.07  9.26 (4.95) 25.45 
DMDesktop Metal 0.01 10 per month 2.45 (0.04) 2.86 (4.44) 23.02 
DDD3D Systems 0.09 7 per month 5.20  0.07  11.73 (8.15) 31.04 
NNDMNano Dimension(0.03)8 per month 2.30 (0.04) 3.07 (3.69) 15.26 
VLDVelo3D Inc(0.25)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 14.19 (12.16) 65.75 
IONQIONQ Inc 3.98 7 per month 4.08  0.34  16.30 (6.53) 47.83 
QBTSD Wave Quantum(0.02)11 per month 4.15  0.22  15.58 (6.93) 55.31 
PSTGPure Storage(0.12)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.58 (6.29) 15.80 

Markforged Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Markforged price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Markforged using various technical indicators. When you analyze Markforged charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Markforged Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Markforged Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Markforged Holding Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Markforged Holding based on analysis of Markforged Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Markforged Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Markforged Holding's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover3.363.483.735.87
Days Of Inventory On Hand98.72191.82197.94100.24

Story Coverage note for Markforged Holding

The number of cover stories for Markforged Holding depends on current market conditions and Markforged Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Markforged Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Markforged Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Markforged Holding Short Properties

Markforged Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Markforged Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Markforged Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Markforged Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markforged Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding196.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.9 M

Complementary Tools for Markforged Stock analysis

When running Markforged Holding's price analysis, check to measure Markforged Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Markforged Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Markforged Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Markforged Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Markforged Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Markforged Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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