Mcgrath Rentcorp Stock Price Prediction
| MGRC Stock | USD 113.56 3.98 3.63% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.216 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9133 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.0733 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7 | Wall Street Target Price 146.3333 |
Using McGrath RentCorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McGrath RentCorp from the perspective of McGrath RentCorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards McGrath RentCorp using McGrath RentCorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards McGrath using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of McGrath RentCorp's stock price.
McGrath RentCorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in McGrath RentCorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards McGrath. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of McGrath RentCorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 112.0159 | Short Percent 0.0184 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 531.5 K | 50 Day MA 118.793 |
McGrath RentCorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to McGrath RentCorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in McGrath. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding McGrath can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around McGrath RentCorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of McGrath RentCorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about McGrath RentCorp.
McGrath RentCorp Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
McGrath RentCorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of McGrath RentCorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if McGrath RentCorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that McGrath RentCorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when McGrath RentCorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in McGrath RentCorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying McGrath because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
McGrath RentCorp after-hype prediction price | USD 113.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current McGrath contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that McGrath RentCorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With McGrath RentCorp trading at USD 113.56, that is roughly USD 0.0341 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating McGrath RentCorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring McGrath RentCorp options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
McGrath |
McGrath RentCorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of McGrath RentCorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McGrath RentCorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of McGrath RentCorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
McGrath RentCorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting McGrath RentCorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McGrath RentCorp's historical news coverage. McGrath RentCorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 111.96 and 115.06, respectively. We have considered McGrath RentCorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
McGrath RentCorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McGrath RentCorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
McGrath RentCorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McGrath RentCorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McGrath RentCorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McGrath RentCorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.55 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
113.56 | 113.51 | 0.04 |
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McGrath RentCorp Hype Timeline
McGrath RentCorp is now traded for 113.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. McGrath is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 113.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 129.17%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on McGrath RentCorp is about 193.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.53. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of McGrath RentCorp was now reported as 45.76. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. McGrath RentCorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of April 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out McGrath RentCorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.McGrath RentCorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to McGrath RentCorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McGrath RentCorp's future price movements. Getting to know how McGrath RentCorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McGrath RentCorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.51 | (6.29) | 15.90 | |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 1.53 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.09 | (1.90) | 7.23 | |
| MPU | Mega Matrix Corp | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 8.33 | (11.11) | 31.28 | |
| FTAIM | FTAI Aviation Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.46 | (1.74) | 4.80 | |
| CTOS | Custom Truck One | (0.36) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.46 | (5.54) | 23.60 | |
| HRI | Herc Holdings | (9.34) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.26 | (6.75) | 17.97 | |
| AAN | The Aarons | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRG | PROG Holdings | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.65 | (5.06) | 31.87 | |
| HEES | HE Equipment Services | 1.58 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.1 | 1.53 | (3.61) | 107.70 |
McGrath RentCorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine McGrath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McGrath using various technical indicators. When you analyze McGrath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About McGrath RentCorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of McGrath RentCorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as McGrath RentCorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of McGrath RentCorp based on analysis of McGrath RentCorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to McGrath RentCorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to McGrath RentCorp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0184 | 0.0156 | 0.017 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.28 | 3.52 | 3.01 | 1.88 |
Story Coverage note for McGrath RentCorp
The number of cover stories for McGrath RentCorp depends on current market conditions and McGrath RentCorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McGrath RentCorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McGrath RentCorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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McGrath RentCorp Short Properties
McGrath RentCorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when McGrath RentCorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McGrath RentCorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McGrath RentCorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McGrath RentCorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 807 K |
Complementary Tools for McGrath Stock analysis
When running McGrath RentCorp's price analysis, check to measure McGrath RentCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McGrath RentCorp is operating at the current time. Most of McGrath RentCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McGrath RentCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McGrath RentCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McGrath RentCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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