Mfs Growth Fund Price Prediction

MFEGX Fund  USD 214.63  0.86  0.40%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mfs Growth's mutual fund price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mfs, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mfs Growth's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mfs Growth Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mfs Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mfs Growth Fund from the perspective of Mfs Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mfs Growth to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mfs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mfs Growth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 214.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mfs Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
193.17224.02224.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Growth Fund.

Mfs Growth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mfs Growth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mfs Growth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mfs Growth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mfs Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mfs Growth's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mfs Growth's historical news coverage. Mfs Growth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 213.40 and 215.18, respectively. We have considered Mfs Growth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
214.63
213.40
Downside
214.29
After-hype Price
215.18
Upside
Mfs Growth is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mfs Growth Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mfs Growth Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mfs Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mfs Growth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mfs Growth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
0.89
  0.34 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
214.63
214.29
0.16 
41.40  
Notes

Mfs Growth Hype Timeline

Mfs Growth Fund is now traded for 214.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mfs is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 214.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 41.4%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Mfs Growth is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 214.63. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Mfs Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mfs Growth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mfs Growth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mfs Growth's future price movements. Getting to know how Mfs Growth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mfs Growth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FPPJXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.34 (0.22) 0.58 (0.59) 1.82 
FPPQXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.23) 0.58 (0.59) 1.74 
FPPRXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.24) 0.59 (0.60) 1.85 
FPPSXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.23) 0.58 (0.59) 1.83 
FPPUXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.33 (0.23) 0.58 (0.59) 1.82 
FPPVXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.33 (0.23) 0.51 (0.59) 1.82 
LFTFXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.38 (0.07) 0.87 (0.67) 2.82 
LFTJXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.39 (0.08) 0.87 (0.76) 2.93 
LFTGXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.37 (0.08) 0.87 (0.67) 2.84 
LFTHXMfs Lifetime 2065 0.00 0 per month 0.38 (0.07) 0.86 (0.67) 2.80 

Mfs Growth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mfs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mfs Growth Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mfs Growth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mfs Growth Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mfs Growth based on analysis of Mfs Growth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mfs Growth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mfs Growth's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mfs Growth

The number of cover stories for Mfs Growth depends on current market conditions and Mfs Growth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mfs Growth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mfs Growth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Growth security.
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