Mfa Financial Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 9.80 13.94 15.52 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 9.53 11.11 12.69 Details

9 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 14.02 15.41 17.10 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.32 0.38 0.33 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MFA Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MFA Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MFA Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MFA Financial.

MFA Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

MFA Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

MFA Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.07	1.58	0.02	0.00	9 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
10.89	10.91	0.18	686.96   Notes

MFA Financial Hype Timeline

On the 16th of March 2025 MFA Financial is traded for 10.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. MFA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on MFA Financial is about 4034.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.89. The company reported the last year's revenue of 252.85 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 119.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 244.3 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out MFA Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MFA Stock refer to our How to Trade MFA Stock guide.

MFA Financial Related Hype Analysis

MFA Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of MFA Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MFA Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MFA Financial based on analysis of MFA Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for MFA Financial depends on current market conditions and MFA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MFA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running MFA Financial's price analysis, check to measure MFA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MFA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.