Magellan Aerospace Stock Price Prediction
| MAL Stock | CAD 10.70 0.95 9.74% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Magellan Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Magellan Aerospace from the perspective of Magellan Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Magellan Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Magellan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Magellan Aerospace after-hype prediction price | CAD 10.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Magellan |
Magellan Aerospace After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Magellan Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Magellan Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Magellan Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Magellan Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Magellan Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Magellan Aerospace's historical news coverage. Magellan Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.16 and 13.26, respectively. We have considered Magellan Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Magellan Aerospace is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Magellan Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.
Magellan Aerospace Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Magellan Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magellan Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Magellan Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.55 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.70 | 10.71 | 0.09 |
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Magellan Aerospace Hype Timeline
Magellan Aerospace is now traded for 10.70on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Magellan is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Magellan Aerospace is about 4026.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.69. The company reported the revenue of 879.62 M. Net Income was 9.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.89 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Magellan Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Magellan Aerospace Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Magellan Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Magellan Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Magellan Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Magellan Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLZ-UN | Plaza Retail REIT | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.72 | 0.17 | 1.71 | (1.40) | 6.92 | |
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | (0.25) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.49 | (2.68) | 9.25 | |
| PTFY | Plantify Foods | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.43 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.79 | (3.66) | 16.13 | |
| HLF | High Liner Foods | (0.20) | 2 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 2.26 | (2.35) | 9.12 | |
| CU | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.12 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.27 | (1.38) | 3.30 |
Magellan Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Magellan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Magellan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Magellan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Magellan Aerospace Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Magellan Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Magellan Aerospace, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Magellan Aerospace based on analysis of Magellan Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Magellan Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Magellan Aerospace's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Magellan Aerospace
The number of cover stories for Magellan Aerospace depends on current market conditions and Magellan Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Magellan Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Magellan Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Magellan Aerospace Short Properties
Magellan Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when Magellan Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Magellan Aerospace often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Magellan Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magellan Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Magellan Stock
Magellan Aerospace financial ratios help investors to determine whether Magellan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Magellan with respect to the benefits of owning Magellan Aerospace security.