Leidos Holdings Stock Price Prediction

LDOS Stock  USD 149.10  1.04  0.69%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Leidos Holdings' share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Leidos Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Leidos Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Leidos Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Leidos Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leidos Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Leidos Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.58
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.1105
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.5869
Wall Street Target Price
192.1671
Using Leidos Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leidos Holdings from the perspective of Leidos Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Leidos Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Leidos Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Leidos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Leidos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Leidos Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Leidos Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Leidos Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Leidos Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Leidos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Leidos Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 150.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Leidos Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Leidos Stock please use our How to Invest in Leidos Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.55138.07165.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
154.31156.83159.35
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
103.13113.33125.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.482.532.59
Details

Leidos Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Leidos Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leidos Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leidos Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Leidos Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Leidos Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leidos Holdings' historical news coverage. Leidos Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.59 and 152.63, respectively. We have considered Leidos Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
149.10
147.59
Downside
150.11
After-hype Price
152.63
Upside
Leidos Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leidos Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Leidos Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leidos Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leidos Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leidos Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
2.52
  0.03 
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
149.10
150.11
0.02 
270.97  
Notes

Leidos Holdings Hype Timeline

Leidos Holdings is now traded for 149.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Leidos is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 150.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Leidos Holdings is about 470.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.08. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Leidos Holdings was now reported as 34.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. Leidos Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The firm had 405:1000 split on the 30th of September 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Leidos Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Leidos Stock please use our How to Invest in Leidos Holdings guide.

Leidos Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Leidos Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leidos Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Leidos Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leidos Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CACICACI International(8.04)11 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.31 (4.18) 14.84 
PSNParsons Corp(0.97)12 per month 2.24 (0.03) 2.19 (2.83) 15.20 
ASGNASGN Inc(0.70)6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.21 (2.47) 13.02 
EXLSExlService Holdings 0.22 9 per month 0.45  0.21  2.56 (1.41) 8.35 
SAICScience Applications International(3.15)9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.80 (2.60) 16.97 
CLVTCLARIVATE PLC 0.09 11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.41 (3.78) 30.83 
ITGartner 2.52 7 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.37 (1.46) 7.23 
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions(0.36)7 per month 1.41  0.01  1.93 (1.89) 9.84 
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions 2.00 9 per month 0.50  0.07  1.62 (1.12) 5.12 
CDWCDW Corp 1.72 10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.67 (3.07) 14.61 
JKHYJack Henry Associates 0.29 11 per month 0.99 (0.06) 1.41 (1.51) 5.03 
FISVFiserv Inc(1.28)10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.14 (1.80) 9.17 
FISFidelity National Information 0.26 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.43 (1.95) 5.41 
GGenpact Limited(0.10)11 per month 0.86  0.07  2.65 (1.62) 12.17 

Leidos Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Leidos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leidos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leidos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Leidos Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Leidos Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Leidos Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Leidos Holdings based on analysis of Leidos Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Leidos Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Leidos Holdings's related companies.
 2015 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02850.01590.01360.0151
Price To Sales Ratio0.810.910.960.58

Story Coverage note for Leidos Holdings

The number of cover stories for Leidos Holdings depends on current market conditions and Leidos Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leidos Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leidos Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Leidos Holdings Short Properties

Leidos Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leidos Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leidos Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138 M
Cash And Short Term Investments777 M

Additional Tools for Leidos Stock Analysis

When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.