Lci Industries Stock Price Prediction

LCII Stock  USD 89.79  2.26  2.58%   
As of 16th of March 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of LCI Industries' share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LCI Industries, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LCI Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LCI Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LCI Industries' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.363
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5875
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.7233
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.6611
Wall Street Target Price
118.3333
Using LCI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LCI Industries from the perspective of LCI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LCI Industries using LCI Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LCI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LCI Industries' stock price.

LCI Industries Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in LCI Industries' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LCI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LCI Industries stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
110.2331
Short Percent
0.0941
Short Ratio
5.62
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
103.0082

LCI Industries Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to LCI Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LCI Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LCI Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LCI Industries.

LCI Industries Implied Volatility

    
  0.86  
LCI Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LCI Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LCI Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LCI Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when LCI Industries' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LCI Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LCI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

LCI Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 89.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LCI contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LCI Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With LCI Industries trading at USD 89.79, that is roughly USD 0.0483 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LCI Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LCI Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in LCI Stock please use our How to Invest in LCI Industries guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.8192.2394.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.4983.5885.66
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
106.57117.11129.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.441.591.70
Details

LCI Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LCI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LCI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LCI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LCI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LCI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LCI Industries' historical news coverage. LCI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.74 and 91.92, respectively. We have considered LCI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
89.79
89.83
After-hype Price
91.92
Upside
LCI Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LCI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

LCI Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LCI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LCI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LCI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.09
  0.04 
  0.09 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
89.79
89.83
0.04 
1,608  
Notes

LCI Industries Hype Timeline

LCI Industries is now traded for 89.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. LCI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 89.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on LCI Industries is about 762.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.88. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.74 B. Net Income was 142.87 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 879.72 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in LCI Stock please use our How to Invest in LCI Industries guide.

LCI Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LCI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LCI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LCI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LCI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MCFTMCBC Holdings 0.20 7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.89 (4.14) 22.81 
DOOOBRP Inc 0.79 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.23 (4.37) 11.92 
MBUUMalibu Boats 1.15 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.93 (4.37) 11.03 
WGOWinnebago Industries(1.74)9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.49 (4.39) 10.53 
BCBrunswick 0.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.70 (3.12) 9.68 
PIIPolaris Industries 3.88 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.62 (4.98) 15.44 
MPXMarine Products 0.13 7 per month 0.00 (0.02) 3.06 (3.26) 12.51 
THOThor Industries(1.92)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.61 (4.17) 18.55 
VEEETwin Vee Powercats(0.03)7 per month 6.01  0.04  16.67 (9.43) 76.41 
CMOTCurtiss Motorcycles 0.00 0 per month 17.69  0.15  94.03 (45.45) 366.25 

LCI Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About LCI Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of LCI Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LCI Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LCI Industries based on analysis of LCI Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LCI Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LCI Industries's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04380.03340.04160.0383
Price To Sales Ratio0.450.840.70.55

Story Coverage note for LCI Industries

The number of cover stories for LCI Industries depends on current market conditions and LCI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LCI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LCI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LCI Industries Short Properties

LCI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LCI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LCI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LCI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LCI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments165.8 M

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When running LCI Industries' price analysis, check to measure LCI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LCI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LCI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LCI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LCI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LCI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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