Lancaster Colony Stock Price Prediction
| LANC Stock | USD 196.44 1.97 1.01% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5843 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.79 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.24 | Wall Street Target Price 205.2 |
Using Lancaster Colony hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lancaster Colony from the perspective of Lancaster Colony response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lancaster Colony using Lancaster Colony's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lancaster using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lancaster Colony's stock price.
Lancaster Colony Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lancaster Colony's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lancaster. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lancaster Colony stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 183.5252 | Short Percent 0.0211 | Short Ratio 3.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 380.4 K | 50 Day MA 179.9602 |
Lancaster Colony Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lancaster Colony's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lancaster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lancaster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lancaster Colony. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lancaster Colony's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lancaster Colony.
Lancaster Colony Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Lancaster Colony's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lancaster Colony stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lancaster Colony's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lancaster Colony stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lancaster Colony's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lancaster Colony to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lancaster because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lancaster Colony after-hype prediction price | USD 196.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lancaster contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lancaster Colony will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Lancaster Colony trading at USD 196.44, that is roughly USD 0.0479 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lancaster Colony's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lancaster Colony options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lancaster |
Lancaster Colony After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lancaster Colony at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lancaster Colony or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lancaster Colony, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lancaster Colony Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lancaster Colony's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lancaster Colony's historical news coverage. Lancaster Colony's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 194.54 and 198.34, respectively. We have considered Lancaster Colony's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lancaster Colony is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lancaster Colony is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lancaster Colony Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lancaster Colony is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lancaster Colony backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lancaster Colony, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.92 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
196.44 | 196.44 | 0.00 |
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Lancaster Colony Hype Timeline
Lancaster Colony is now traded for 196.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Lancaster is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 54.39%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lancaster Colony is about 491.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 196.39. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.7. Lancaster Colony last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 28th of January 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lancaster Colony Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lancaster Colony Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lancaster Colony's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lancaster Colony's future price movements. Getting to know how Lancaster Colony's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lancaster Colony may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THS | Treehouse Foods | (0.15) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.54 | (3.55) | 13.25 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | (5.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.11 | (2.94) | 13.65 | |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | 0.05 | 7 per month | 1.30 | 0.13 | 2.87 | (2.32) | 13.63 | |
| SENEB | Seneca Foods Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.55 | 0.13 | 4.05 | (3.81) | 18.07 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | (2.59) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.25 | (3.30) | 9.17 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | (0.07) | 6 per month | 1.48 | 0.1 | 3.60 | (2.70) | 10.57 | |
| BRBR | Bellring Brands LLC | (1.21) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.80 | (2.57) | 9.05 | |
| POST | Post Holdings | 2.35 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 2.07 | (2.03) | 8.75 | |
| HAIN | The Hain Celestial | 0.29 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.79 | (8.27) | 19.15 | |
| SMPL | Simply Good Foods | 2.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (3.03) | 9.43 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.87 | (0.01) | 2.81 | (3.57) | 11.78 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.43 | (3.34) | 10.84 |
Lancaster Colony Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lancaster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lancaster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lancaster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lancaster Colony Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lancaster Colony stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lancaster Colony, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lancaster Colony based on analysis of Lancaster Colony hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lancaster Colony's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lancaster Colony's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0167 | 0.0189 | 0.0285 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.03 | 2.76 | 1.3 |
Story Coverage note for Lancaster Colony
The number of cover stories for Lancaster Colony depends on current market conditions and Lancaster Colony's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lancaster Colony is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lancaster Colony's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Lancaster Colony Short Properties
Lancaster Colony's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lancaster Colony's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lancaster Colony often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lancaster Colony's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lancaster Colony's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Lancaster Stock analysis
When running Lancaster Colony's price analysis, check to measure Lancaster Colony's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lancaster Colony is operating at the current time. Most of Lancaster Colony's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lancaster Colony's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lancaster Colony's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lancaster Colony to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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