Knightscope Stock Price Prediction
| KSCP Stock | USD 17.99 0.63 3.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.00) | EPS Estimate Current Year (11.00) | EPS Estimate Next Year (9.00) | Wall Street Target Price 187.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (2.50) |
Using Knightscope hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knightscope from the perspective of Knightscope response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Knightscope to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Knightscope because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Knightscope after-hype prediction price | USD 17.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Knightscope |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Knightscope's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Knightscope After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Knightscope at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knightscope or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knightscope, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Knightscope Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Knightscope's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knightscope's historical news coverage. Knightscope's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.33 and 29.65, respectively. We have considered Knightscope's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Knightscope is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knightscope is based on 3 months time horizon.
Knightscope Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knightscope is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knightscope backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knightscope, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.34 | 11.66 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.99 | 17.99 | 0.00 |
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Knightscope Hype Timeline
Knightscope is now traded for 17.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Knightscope is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Knightscope is about 36821.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.95. The company recorded a loss per share of 14.08. Knightscope had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:50 split on the 16th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Knightscope Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Knightscope Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Knightscope's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knightscope's future price movements. Getting to know how Knightscope's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knightscope may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LGMK | LogicMark | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 19.35 | (17.11) | 71.81 | |
| GFAIW | Guardforce AI Co | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 33.33 | (25.00) | 80.00 | |
| BAER | Bridger Aerospace Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 6.31 | 0.02 | 14.29 | (10.91) | 53.89 | |
| IVDA | Iveda Solutions | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 15.56 | (13.86) | 44.95 | |
| GFAI | Guardforce AI Co | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.56 | (7.32) | 23.69 | |
| IVDAW | Iveda Solutions Warrant | 0.00 | 0 per month | 24.39 | 0.19 | 79.73 | (49.37) | 267.47 | |
| SPCB | Supercom | (0.04) | 4 per month | 4.34 | 0.05 | 9.09 | (7.91) | 19.42 | |
| BCO | Brinks Company | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.77 | (2.75) | 6.86 | |
| ALLE | Allegion PLC | (0.56) | 11 per month | 1.08 | (0.08) | 1.47 | (1.79) | 5.54 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.64) | 4 per month | 2.95 | 0.06 | 4.39 | (5.58) | 16.89 | |
| MG | Mistras Group | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.10 | (4.10) | 29.26 | |
| REZI | Resideo Technologies | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.14 | 3.92 | (2.65) | 11.73 |
Knightscope Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Knightscope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knightscope using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knightscope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Knightscope Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Knightscope stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Knightscope, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Knightscope based on analysis of Knightscope hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Knightscope's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Knightscope's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008709 | 0.007741 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.09 | 2.94 |
Story Coverage note for Knightscope
The number of cover stories for Knightscope depends on current market conditions and Knightscope's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Knightscope is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Knightscope's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Knightscope Short Properties
Knightscope's future price predictability will typically decrease when Knightscope's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Knightscope often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Knightscope's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knightscope's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Additional Tools for Knightscope Stock Analysis
When running Knightscope's price analysis, check to measure Knightscope's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Knightscope is operating at the current time. Most of Knightscope's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Knightscope's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Knightscope's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Knightscope to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.