Kainos Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| KNNNF Stock | USD 10.71 1.57 17.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
11
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kainos Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kainos Group plc from the perspective of Kainos Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kainos Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kainos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kainos Group after-hype prediction price | USD 10.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kainos |
Kainos Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kainos Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kainos Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kainos Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kainos Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kainos Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kainos Group's historical news coverage. Kainos Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.73 and 15.69, respectively. We have considered Kainos Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kainos Group is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kainos Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kainos Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kainos Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kainos Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kainos Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 4.98 | 0.64 | 2.60 | 29 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 29 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.71 | 10.71 | 0.00 |
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Kainos Group Hype Timeline
Kainos Group plc is now traded for 10.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.6. Kainos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kainos Group is about 92.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.31. About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 29 days. Check out Kainos Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kainos Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kainos Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kainos Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Kainos Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kainos Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRM | Salesforce | (3.00) | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.20 | 3.59 | (1.93) | 13.87 | |
| SAP | SAP SE ADR | 4.02 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.08 | 3.20 | (1.91) | 6.50 | |
| NOW | ServiceNow | 11.14 | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 3.04 | (2.68) | 8.60 | |
| INTU | Intuit Inc | 23.49 | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.01 | 3.63 | (2.37) | 10.46 | |
| SHOP | Shopify | (3.30) | 7 per month | 1.31 | 0.21 | 4.60 | (2.39) | 26.26 | |
| UBER | Uber Technologies | (0.71) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.67 | (5.35) | 20.41 | |
| APP | Applovin Corp | 10.61 | 7 per month | 2.57 | 0.26 | 7.78 | (3.55) | 60.95 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 3.95 | 8 per month | 4.44 | 0.26 | 12.96 | (7.51) | 41.89 | |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | 2.51 | 8 per month | 2.12 | 0.06 | 3.48 | (4.40) | 18.93 |
Kainos Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kainos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kainos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kainos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kainos Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kainos Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kainos Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kainos Group based on analysis of Kainos Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kainos Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kainos Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kainos Group
The number of cover stories for Kainos Group depends on current market conditions and Kainos Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kainos Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kainos Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kainos Group Short Properties
Kainos Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kainos Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kainos Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kainos Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kainos Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Kainos Pink Sheet analysis
When running Kainos Group's price analysis, check to measure Kainos Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kainos Group is operating at the current time. Most of Kainos Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kainos Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kainos Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kainos Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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