Applovin Corp Stock Price Prediction
| APP Stock | USD 336.75 8.19 2.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
87
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.127 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.99 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2136 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8846 | Wall Street Target Price 293.3773 |
Using Applovin Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applovin Corp from the perspective of Applovin Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Applovin Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Applovin Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Applovin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Applovin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Applovin Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Applovin Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Applovin Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Applovin Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Applovin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Applovin Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 393.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Applovin |
Applovin Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Applovin Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applovin Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applovin Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Applovin Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Applovin Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applovin Corp's historical news coverage. Applovin Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 303.08 and 400.12, respectively. We have considered Applovin Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Applovin Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applovin Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Applovin Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applovin Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applovin Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applovin Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.33 | 6.73 | 56.64 | 0.30 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
336.75 | 393.39 | 16.82 |
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Applovin Corp Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Applovin Corp is traded for 336.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 56.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.3. Applovin is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 393.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 27.68%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 16.82%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 2.33%. The volatility of related hype on Applovin Corp is about 5257.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 337.05. Applovin Corp has 3.18 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.73, which is OK given its current industry classification. Applovin Corp has a current ratio of 2.76, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Applovin to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Applovin Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Applovin Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Applovin Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applovin Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Applovin Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applovin Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BEKE | Ke Holdings | (0.17) | 9 per month | 3.69 | 0.09 | 8.40 | (6.10) | 31.65 | |
| NCNO | nCino Inc | 0.81 | 12 per month | 0.87 | 0.22 | 3.15 | (1.98) | 8.91 | |
| KC | Kingsoft Cloud Holdings | 0.19 | 8 per month | 5.76 | 0.19 | 19.49 | (14.06) | 56.37 | |
| FROG | Jfrog | (0.25) | 10 per month | 2.15 | 0.04 | 4.43 | (3.72) | 13.97 | |
| BIGC | Bigcommerce Holdings | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.81 | 0.09 | 7.47 | (3.31) | 13.63 |
Applovin Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applovin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applovin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applovin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Applovin Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Applovin Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Applovin Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applovin Corp based on analysis of Applovin Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Applovin Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Applovin Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PFCF Ratio | 99.2 | 9.63 | 13.27 | 12.6 | Capex To Operating Cash Flow | 0.0151 | 0.016 | 0.004 | 0.0038 |
Story Coverage note for Applovin Corp
The number of cover stories for Applovin Corp depends on current market conditions and Applovin Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applovin Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applovin Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Applovin Corp Short Properties
Applovin Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applovin Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applovin Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applovin Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applovin Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 362.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 502.2 M |
Additional Tools for Applovin Stock Analysis
When running Applovin Corp's price analysis, check to measure Applovin Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applovin Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Applovin Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applovin Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applovin Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applovin Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.