Kelt Exploration Stock Price Prediction
| KEL Stock | CAD 6.73 0.01 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Wall Street Target Price 8.8333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.23 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Kelt Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kelt Exploration from the perspective of Kelt Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kelt Exploration to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kelt because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kelt Exploration after-hype prediction price | CAD 6.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kelt |
Kelt Exploration After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kelt Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kelt Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kelt Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kelt Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kelt Exploration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kelt Exploration's historical news coverage. Kelt Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.61 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered Kelt Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kelt Exploration is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kelt Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kelt Exploration Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kelt Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kelt Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kelt Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.11 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.73 | 6.72 | 0.15 |
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Kelt Exploration Hype Timeline
Kelt Exploration is now traded for 6.73on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Kelt is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Kelt Exploration is about 1507.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.70. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.26. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kelt Exploration had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Kelt Exploration Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kelt Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kelt Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kelt Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Kelt Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kelt Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVA | NuVista Energy | (0.28) | 1 per month | 1.99 | (0) | 3.89 | (3.37) | 9.62 | |
| AAV | Advantage Oil Gas | (0.29) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.11 | (3.26) | 10.28 | |
| BIR | Birchcliff Energy | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.04 | (3.70) | 9.34 | |
| CJ | Cardinal Energy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.44 | (2.20) | 4.50 |
Kelt Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kelt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kelt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kelt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kelt Exploration Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kelt Exploration stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kelt Exploration, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kelt Exploration based on analysis of Kelt Exploration hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kelt Exploration's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kelt Exploration's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 2.69 | 3.66 | 3.46 | 3.15 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 10.0 | 1.0E-6 | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Story Coverage note for Kelt Exploration
The number of cover stories for Kelt Exploration depends on current market conditions and Kelt Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kelt Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kelt Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kelt Exploration Short Properties
Kelt Exploration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kelt Exploration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kelt Exploration often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kelt Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kelt Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 197.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Kelt Stock
Kelt Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kelt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kelt with respect to the benefits of owning Kelt Exploration security.