Jack In The Stock Price Prediction
| JACK Stock | USD 46.87 0.28 0.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9865 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1627 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3048 | Wall Street Target Price 53.579 |
Using Jack In hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jack In The from the perspective of Jack In response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Jack In Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jack In's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jack. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jack can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jack In The. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jack In's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jack In.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jack In to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jack because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jack In after-hype prediction price | USD 46.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jack |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jack In After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jack In at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jack In or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jack In, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jack In Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jack In's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jack In's historical news coverage. Jack In's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.18 and 49.52, respectively. We have considered Jack In's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jack In is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jack In is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jack In Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jack In is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jack In backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jack In, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.65 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.87 | 46.85 | 0.04 |
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Jack In Hype Timeline
Jack In is currently traded for 46.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Jack is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 46.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Jack In is about 1060.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.88. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. Jack In recorded a loss per share of 1.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jack In Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jack In's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jack In's future price movements. Getting to know how Jack In's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jack In may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | 1.07 | 6 per month | 2.01 | 0.02 | 2.74 | (2.68) | 10.78 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | (0.89) | 7 per month | 0.89 | (0.06) | 1.48 | (1.64) | 6.05 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | (0.27) | 11 per month | 1.79 | 0.03 | 3.34 | (2.45) | 10.31 | |
| MCD | McDonalds | 0.29 | 7 per month | 1.33 | (0.08) | 1.46 | (1.18) | 6.70 | |
| WING | Wingstop | 2.76 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.59 | (4.14) | 25.52 | |
| SHAK | Shake Shack | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.1 | 5.02 | (2.89) | 11.94 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | (0.59) | 9 per month | 2.43 | (0.01) | 4.11 | (4.50) | 10.07 | |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | 0.19 | 12 per month | 0.94 | 0.04 | 2.04 | (1.75) | 11.46 | |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings | (0.58) | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.14 | 7.17 | (4.09) | 20.82 |
Jack In Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jack price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jack using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jack charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jack In Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jack In stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jack In The, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jack In based on analysis of Jack In hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jack In's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jack In's related companies. | 2017 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0256 | 0.0192 | 0.0132 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.83 | 0.8 | 2.72 |
Story Coverage note for Jack In
The number of cover stories for Jack In depends on current market conditions and Jack In's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jack In is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jack In's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jack In Short Properties
Jack In's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jack In's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jack In The often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.8 M |
Check out Jack In Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. If investors know Jack will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jack In listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share (1.87) | Revenue Per Share 80.463 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0546 |
The market value of Jack In is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jack that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jack In's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jack In's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jack In's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jack In's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jack In's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jack In is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jack In's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.