Inventrust Properties Corp Stock Price Prediction
IVT Stock | USD 31.30 0.50 1.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.275 | Wall Street Target Price 33.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.01 |
Using Inventrust Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inventrust Properties Corp from the perspective of Inventrust Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inventrust Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inventrust because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inventrust Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 31.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Inventrust |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inventrust Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inventrust Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inventrust Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inventrust Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inventrust Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Inventrust Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inventrust Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inventrust Properties' historical news coverage. Inventrust Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.25 and 32.37, respectively. We have considered Inventrust Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inventrust Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inventrust Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inventrust Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inventrust Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inventrust Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inventrust Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.30 | 31.31 | 0.03 |
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Inventrust Properties Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Inventrust Properties is traded for 31.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Inventrust is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Inventrust Properties is about 1479.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.31. The company reported the last year's revenue of 259.82 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.27 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 174.38 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Inventrust Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inventrust Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inventrust Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inventrust Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how Inventrust Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inventrust Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
BFS | Saul Centers | (0.12) | 9 per month | 1.02 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (1.43) | 4.79 | |
SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.07 | 2.60 | (2.81) | 48.55 | |
AKR | Acadia Realty Trust | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (1.64) | 4.62 | |
ROIC | Retail Opportunity Investments | 0.55 | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.04 | 1.93 | (1.37) | 9.01 | |
BRX | Brixmor Property | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.68 | 0.05 | 1.94 | (1.47) | 4.59 | |
NTST | Netstreit Corp | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.82 | (1.93) | 7.23 |
Inventrust Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inventrust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inventrust using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inventrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Inventrust Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inventrust Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inventrust Properties Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inventrust Properties based on analysis of Inventrust Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inventrust Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inventrust Properties's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0287 | 0.0347 | 0.0336 | 0.067 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.14 | 6.74 | 6.59 | 6.26 |
Story Coverage note for Inventrust Properties
The number of cover stories for Inventrust Properties depends on current market conditions and Inventrust Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inventrust Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inventrust Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inventrust Properties Short Properties
Inventrust Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Inventrust Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inventrust Properties Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inventrust Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inventrust Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.8 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.8 M |
Additional Tools for Inventrust Stock Analysis
When running Inventrust Properties' price analysis, check to measure Inventrust Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inventrust Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Inventrust Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inventrust Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inventrust Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inventrust Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.