Itau Unibanco Banco Stock Price Prediction
| ITUB Stock | USD 5.99 0.27 4.72% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.27 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7953 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8777 | Wall Street Target Price 7.0714 |
Using Itau Unibanco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Itau Unibanco Banco from the perspective of Itau Unibanco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Itau Unibanco using Itau Unibanco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Itau using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Itau Unibanco's stock price.
Itau Unibanco Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Itau Unibanco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Itau. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Itau Unibanco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 5.9614 | Short Percent 0.0072 | Short Ratio 1.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 31.8 M | 50 Day MA 5.578 |
Itau Unibanco Banco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Itau Unibanco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Itau. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Itau can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Itau Unibanco Banco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Itau Unibanco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Itau Unibanco.
Itau Unibanco Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
Itau Unibanco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Itau Unibanco Banco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Itau Unibanco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Itau Unibanco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Itau Unibanco's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Itau Unibanco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Itau because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Itau Unibanco after-hype prediction price | USD 6.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Itau contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Itau Unibanco Banco will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Itau Unibanco trading at USD 5.99, that is roughly USD 0.003145 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Itau Unibanco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Itau Unibanco Banco options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Itau |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Itau Unibanco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Itau Unibanco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Itau Unibanco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Itau Unibanco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Itau Unibanco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Itau Unibanco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Itau Unibanco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Itau Unibanco's historical news coverage. Itau Unibanco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.13 and 7.87, respectively. We have considered Itau Unibanco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Itau Unibanco is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Itau Unibanco Banco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Itau Unibanco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Itau Unibanco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Itau Unibanco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Itau Unibanco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.87 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.99 | 6.00 | 0.17 |
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Itau Unibanco Hype Timeline
Itau Unibanco Banco is currently traded for 5.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Itau is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Itau Unibanco is about 591.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.91. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 124.53 B. Net Income was 33.1 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.74 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Itau Unibanco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Itau Unibanco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Itau Unibanco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Itau Unibanco's future price movements. Getting to know how Itau Unibanco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Itau Unibanco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | (3.25) | 9 per month | 3.28 | 0.05 | 6.23 | (6.09) | 17.43 | |
| BMA | Banco Macro SA | (2.56) | 10 per month | 3.84 | 0.04 | 7.09 | (6.40) | 23.57 | |
| BSBR | Banco Santander Brasil | (0.02) | 9 per month | 2.23 | 0.11 | 4.42 | (4.26) | 9.51 | |
| LYG | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.28 | 4.41 | (2.82) | 10.36 | |
| BSAC | Banco Santander Chile | (0.23) | 12 per month | 1.22 | 0.28 | 2.52 | (2.12) | 5.64 | |
| BCH | Banco De Chile | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.32 | 1.99 | (1.47) | 5.00 | |
| BBDO | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.33 | 0.09 | 3.17 | (3.19) | 10.87 | |
| KEY-PI | KeyCorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.21 | 1.31 | (1.05) | 3.97 | |
| SUPV | Grupo Supervielle SA | 0.34 | 10 per month | 4.16 | 0.08 | 8.08 | (7.26) | 26.02 | |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco Frances | 1.21 | 5 per month | 3.93 | 0.08 | 6.83 | (7.47) | 22.77 | |
| BBD | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.03 | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.1 | 4.10 | (4.15) | 10.77 | |
| LLDTF | Lloyds Banking Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.48 | 0.12 | 6.94 | (6.94) | 23.72 | |
| DB | Deutsche Bank AG | 0.19 | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.24 | 3.83 | (2.73) | 17.66 |
Itau Unibanco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Itau price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Itau using various technical indicators. When you analyze Itau charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Itau Unibanco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Itau Unibanco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Itau Unibanco Banco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Itau Unibanco based on analysis of Itau Unibanco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Itau Unibanco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Itau Unibanco's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0318 | 0.0352 | 0.0405 | 0.0744 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 2.36 | 2.13 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for Itau Unibanco
The number of cover stories for Itau Unibanco depends on current market conditions and Itau Unibanco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Itau Unibanco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Itau Unibanco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Itau Unibanco Short Properties
Itau Unibanco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Itau Unibanco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Itau Unibanco Banco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Itau Unibanco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Itau Unibanco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Itau Stock analysis
When running Itau Unibanco's price analysis, check to measure Itau Unibanco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Itau Unibanco is operating at the current time. Most of Itau Unibanco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Itau Unibanco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Itau Unibanco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Itau Unibanco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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