Ingredion Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| INGR Stock | USD 133.23 1.94 1.48% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.5989 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.4801 | Wall Street Target Price 153 |
Using Ingredion Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ingredion Incorporated from the perspective of Ingredion Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ingredion Incorporated using Ingredion Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ingredion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ingredion Incorporated's stock price.
Ingredion Incorporated Short Interest
An investor who is long Ingredion Incorporated may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ingredion Incorporated and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ingredion Incorporated with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 131.318 | Short Percent 0.0328 | Short Ratio 2.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 131.9282 |
Ingredion Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ingredion Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ingredion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ingredion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ingredion Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ingredion Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ingredion Incorporated.
Ingredion Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Ingredion Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ingredion Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ingredion Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ingredion Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ingredion Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ingredion Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ingredion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ingredion Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 133.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ingredion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ingredion Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Ingredion Incorporated trading at USD 133.23, that is roughly USD 0.04 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ingredion Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ingredion Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ingredion |
Ingredion Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ingredion Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ingredion Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ingredion Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingredion Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ingredion Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ingredion Incorporated's historical news coverage. Ingredion Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 132.36 and 135.00, respectively. We have considered Ingredion Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ingredion Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ingredion Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ingredion Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingredion Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingredion Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingredion Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.32 | 0.45 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
133.23 | 133.68 | 0.34 |
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Ingredion Incorporated Hype Timeline
Ingredion Incorporated is currently traded for 133.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Ingredion is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 133.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 26.29%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Ingredion Incorporated is about 190.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 133.29. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.43 B. Net Income was 654 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.79 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Ingredion Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ingredion Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ingredion Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ingredion Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Ingredion Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ingredion Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Ingredion Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingredion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingredion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingredion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Ingredion Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ingredion Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ingredion Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ingredion Incorporated based on analysis of Ingredion Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ingredion Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ingredion Incorporated's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0279 | 0.0233 | 0.0146 |
| Price To Sales Ratio | 0.82 | 1.21 | 0.69 |
Story Coverage note for Ingredion Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Ingredion Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Ingredion Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ingredion Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ingredion Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ingredion Incorporated Short Properties
Ingredion Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ingredion Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ingredion Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ingredion Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingredion Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Additional Tools for Ingredion Stock Analysis
When running Ingredion Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Ingredion Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingredion Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Ingredion Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingredion Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingredion Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingredion Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.