Indivior Plc Ordinary Stock Price Prediction
| INDV Stock | 11.99 0.06 0.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.097 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6086 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4795 | Wall Street Target Price 16 |
Using Indivior PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Indivior PLC Ordinary from the perspective of Indivior PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Indivior PLC using Indivior PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Indivior using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Indivior PLC's stock price.
Indivior PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Indivior PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Indivior PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Indivior PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.0746 | Short Percent 0.0099 | Short Ratio 0.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 11.4105 |
Indivior PLC Ordinary Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Indivior PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Indivior. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Indivior can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Indivior PLC Ordinary. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Indivior PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Indivior PLC.
Indivior PLC Implied Volatility | 2.03 |
Indivior PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Indivior PLC Ordinary stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Indivior PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Indivior PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Indivior PLC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Indivior PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Indivior because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Indivior PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 11.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Indivior contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Indivior PLC Ordinary will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Indivior PLC trading at USD 11.99, that is roughly USD 0.0152 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Indivior PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Indivior PLC Ordinary options at the current volatility level of 2.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Indivior |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indivior PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Indivior PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Indivior PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Indivior PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Indivior PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Indivior PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Indivior PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Indivior PLC's historical news coverage. Indivior PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.73 and 14.85, respectively. We have considered Indivior PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Indivior PLC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Indivior PLC Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
Indivior PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Indivior PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Indivior PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Indivior PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 3.06 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.99 | 11.79 | 1.34 |
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Indivior PLC Hype Timeline
Indivior PLC Ordinary is currently traded for 11.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Indivior is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Indivior PLC is about 587.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.27. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Indivior PLC Ordinary last dividend was issued on the 16th of June 2016. The entity had 1:5 split on the 11th of October 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Indivior PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Indivior PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Indivior PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Indivior PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Indivior PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Indivior PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLW | Corning Incorporated | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.91 | (2.12) | 7.45 | |
| ROBXF | Robix Environmental Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WFCF | Where Food Comes | 0.03 | 4 per month | 2.86 | 0.05 | 4.26 | (4.48) | 17.91 | |
| DHX | DHI Group | 0.29 | 9 per month | 2.50 | 0.10 | 6.67 | (4.29) | 19.85 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.97 | 0.02 | 2.88 | (3.03) | 13.36 | |
| GFL | Gfl Environmental Holdings | 0.24 | 8 per month | 1.15 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (1.93) | 7.37 | |
| LATGU | Latamgrowth SPAC Unit | 2.35 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.69 | (7.12) | 35.24 | |
| CENX | Century Aluminum | 1.08 | 6 per month | 2.44 | 0.04 | 5.56 | (4.38) | 25.21 |
Indivior PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Indivior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Indivior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Indivior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Indivior PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Indivior PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Indivior PLC Ordinary, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Indivior PLC based on analysis of Indivior PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Indivior PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Indivior PLC's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.096 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.75 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Indivior PLC
The number of cover stories for Indivior PLC depends on current market conditions and Indivior PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Indivior PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Indivior PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Indivior PLC Short Properties
Indivior PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Indivior PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Indivior PLC Ordinary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Indivior PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indivior PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 410 M |
Additional Tools for Indivior Stock Analysis
When running Indivior PLC's price analysis, check to measure Indivior PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indivior PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Indivior PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indivior PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indivior PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indivior PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.