Icelandair Group (Iceland) Price Prediction
| ICEAIR Stock | ISK 1.30 0.03 2.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Icelandair Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Icelandair Group hf from the perspective of Icelandair Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Icelandair Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Icelandair because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Icelandair Group after-hype prediction price | ISK 1.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Icelandair |
Icelandair Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Icelandair Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Icelandair Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Icelandair Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Icelandair Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Icelandair Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Icelandair Group's historical news coverage. Icelandair Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 4.08, respectively. We have considered Icelandair Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Icelandair Group is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Icelandair Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Icelandair Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Icelandair Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Icelandair Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Icelandair Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 2.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
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Icelandair Group Hype Timeline
Icelandair Group is currently traded for 1.30on Iceland Exchange of Iceland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Icelandair is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Icelandair Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.30. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Icelandair Group last dividend was issued on the 9th of March 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Icelandair Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Icelandair Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Icelandair Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Icelandair Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Icelandair Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Icelandair Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICEAIR | Icelandair Group hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | 0.17 | 5.17 | (3.51) | 13.70 | |
| ISLAX | Icelandic Salmon AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.63 | (2.56) | 11.54 | |
| OLGERD | lgerin Egill Skallagrmsson | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | (0.02) | 2.67 | (2.26) | 7.71 | |
| PLAY | Fly Play hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.00 | (8.33) | 40.48 | |
| OCS | Oculis Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.14 | 6.95 | (3.81) | 15.25 | |
| SYN | Sn hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | (0.04) | 2.53 | (1.89) | 8.35 | |
| REGINN | Reginn Hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MAREL | Marel hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | 0.23 | 2.00 | (1.24) | 7.90 | |
| ORIGO | Origo Hf | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Icelandair Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Icelandair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Icelandair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Icelandair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Icelandair Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Icelandair Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Icelandair Group hf, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Icelandair Group based on analysis of Icelandair Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Icelandair Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Icelandair Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Icelandair Group
The number of cover stories for Icelandair Group depends on current market conditions and Icelandair Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Icelandair Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Icelandair Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Icelandair Group Short Properties
Icelandair Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Icelandair Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Icelandair Group hf often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Icelandair Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Icelandair Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 3.97B | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 8.81M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 12.07M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.01% |
Complementary Tools for Icelandair Stock analysis
When running Icelandair Group's price analysis, check to measure Icelandair Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Icelandair Group is operating at the current time. Most of Icelandair Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Icelandair Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Icelandair Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Icelandair Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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