Houlihan Lokey Stock Price Prediction
| HLI Stock | USD 158.99 2.99 1.92% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.337 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5402 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9531 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.1219 | Wall Street Target Price 188.7143 |
Using Houlihan Lokey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Houlihan Lokey from the perspective of Houlihan Lokey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Houlihan Lokey using Houlihan Lokey's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Houlihan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Houlihan Lokey's stock price.
Houlihan Lokey Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Houlihan Lokey's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Houlihan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Houlihan Lokey stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 161.874 | Short Percent 0.0157 | Short Ratio 1.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 645.6 K | 50 Day MA 173.7342 |
Houlihan Lokey Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Houlihan Lokey's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Houlihan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Houlihan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Houlihan Lokey. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Houlihan Lokey's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Houlihan Lokey.
Houlihan Lokey Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Houlihan Lokey's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Houlihan Lokey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Houlihan Lokey's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Houlihan Lokey stock will not fluctuate a lot when Houlihan Lokey's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Houlihan Lokey to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Houlihan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Houlihan Lokey after-hype prediction price | USD 158.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Houlihan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Houlihan Lokey will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Houlihan Lokey trading at USD 158.99, that is roughly USD 0.0368 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Houlihan Lokey's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Houlihan Lokey options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Houlihan |
Houlihan Lokey After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Houlihan Lokey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Houlihan Lokey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Houlihan Lokey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Houlihan Lokey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Houlihan Lokey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Houlihan Lokey's historical news coverage. Houlihan Lokey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 157.10 and 160.68, respectively. We have considered Houlihan Lokey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Houlihan Lokey is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Houlihan Lokey is based on 3 months time horizon.
Houlihan Lokey Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Houlihan Lokey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Houlihan Lokey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Houlihan Lokey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.79 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
158.99 | 158.89 | 0.06 |
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Houlihan Lokey Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Houlihan Lokey is traded for 158.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.38. Houlihan is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 158.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 80.63%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Houlihan Lokey is about 83.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.61. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.23. Houlihan Lokey last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Houlihan Lokey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Houlihan Lokey Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Houlihan Lokey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Houlihan Lokey's future price movements. Getting to know how Houlihan Lokey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Houlihan Lokey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAZ | Lazard | (1.71) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.04 | (4.56) | 14.41 | |
| PJT | PJT Partners | 0.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.41 | (3.35) | 11.57 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | (0.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.78 | (4.40) | 8.78 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | (11.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.82 | (3.91) | 9.43 | |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | 0.96 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.67 | (5.26) | 14.41 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | (3.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.33 | (5.48) | 11.75 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | (1.48) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.35 | (4.04) | 7.51 | |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.97 | (2.92) | 10.06 |
Houlihan Lokey Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Houlihan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Houlihan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Houlihan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Houlihan Lokey Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Houlihan Lokey stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Houlihan Lokey, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Houlihan Lokey based on analysis of Houlihan Lokey hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Houlihan Lokey's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Houlihan Lokey's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0253 | 0.018 | 0.0207 | 0.0197 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.06 | 4.31 | 3.88 | 2.02 |
Story Coverage note for Houlihan Lokey
The number of cover stories for Houlihan Lokey depends on current market conditions and Houlihan Lokey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Houlihan Lokey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Houlihan Lokey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Houlihan Lokey Short Properties
Houlihan Lokey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Houlihan Lokey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Houlihan Lokey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Houlihan Lokey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Houlihan Lokey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 728.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Houlihan Stock analysis
When running Houlihan Lokey's price analysis, check to measure Houlihan Lokey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Houlihan Lokey is operating at the current time. Most of Houlihan Lokey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Houlihan Lokey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Houlihan Lokey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Houlihan Lokey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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