Holmen AB (Germany) Price Prediction
| HL9C Stock | EUR 36.68 0.06 0.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Holmen AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Holmen AB from the perspective of Holmen AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Holmen AB to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Holmen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Holmen AB after-hype prediction price | EUR 36.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Holmen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Holmen AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Holmen AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Holmen AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Holmen AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Holmen AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Holmen AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Holmen AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Holmen AB's historical news coverage. Holmen AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.48 and 37.88, respectively. We have considered Holmen AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Holmen AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Holmen AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Holmen AB Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Holmen AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Holmen AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Holmen AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.68 | 36.68 | 0.00 |
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Holmen AB Hype Timeline
Holmen AB is currently traded for 36.68on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Holmen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Holmen AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.68. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Holmen AB last dividend was issued on the 29th of March 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of April 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Holmen AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Holmen AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Holmen AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Holmen AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Holmen AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Holmen AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENUR | Stora Enso Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (3.83) | 10.00 | |
| N3Y | Nine Dragons Paper | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.71 | 0.07 | 8.33 | (7.50) | 35.58 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.36 | (4.50) | 20.22 | |
| 39O1 | Origin Agritech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.48 | 0.01 | 8.41 | (5.63) | 24.06 | |
| IUI1 | INTUITIVE SURGICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.08 | 3.28 | (2.07) | 10.53 | |
| INL | Intel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.05 | 7.04 | (5.34) | 16.28 | |
| RS6 | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 2.94 | (2.03) | 13.65 | |
| RRU | Rolls Royce Holdings plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.12 | 3.33 | (3.10) | 10.56 | |
| XYTA | CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.11 | 0.14 | 33.33 | (20.00) | 233.33 | |
| 9K1 | NORDIC HALIBUT AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.94 | (4.66) | 14.80 |
Holmen AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Holmen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Holmen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Holmen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Holmen AB Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Holmen AB stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Holmen AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Holmen AB based on analysis of Holmen AB hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Holmen AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Holmen AB's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Holmen AB
The number of cover stories for Holmen AB depends on current market conditions and Holmen AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Holmen AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Holmen AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Holmen AB Short Properties
Holmen AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Holmen AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Holmen AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Holmen AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holmen AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Holmen Stock analysis
When running Holmen AB's price analysis, check to measure Holmen AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holmen AB is operating at the current time. Most of Holmen AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holmen AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holmen AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holmen AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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