Hydro One Stock Price Prediction
| H Stock | CAD 45.79 0.01 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8988 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0308 | Wall Street Target Price 44.25 |
Using Hydro One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hydro One from the perspective of Hydro One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hydro One to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hydro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hydro One after-hype prediction price | CAD 45.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hydro |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hydro One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hydro One After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hydro One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hydro One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hydro One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hydro One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hydro One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hydro One's historical news coverage. Hydro One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.86 and 46.72, respectively. We have considered Hydro One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hydro One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hydro One is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hydro One Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hydro One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hydro One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hydro One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.79 | 45.79 | 0.00 |
|
Hydro One Hype Timeline
Hydro One is currently traded for 45.79on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hydro is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hydro One is about 387.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.79. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Hydro One was currently reported as 20.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Hydro One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hydro One Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hydro One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hydro One's future price movements. Getting to know how Hydro One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hydro One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CU | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.61 | 3 per month | 0.70 | (0.01) | 1.47 | (1.33) | 4.46 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.18) | 4 per month | 0.58 | (0.04) | 1.13 | (1.19) | 3.91 | |
| EMA | Emera Inc | 0.87 | 2 per month | 1.21 | (0.02) | 1.40 | (1.76) | 7.94 | |
| AQN | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.09 | (2.56) | 6.20 | |
| NPI | Northland Power | (0.21) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.83 | (2.37) | 11.22 |
Hydro One Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hydro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hydro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hydro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hydro One Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hydro One stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hydro One, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hydro One based on analysis of Hydro One hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hydro One's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hydro One's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.032 | 0.0305 | 0.0297 | 0.0282 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.72 | 2.79 | 3.01 | 1.53 |
Story Coverage note for Hydro One
The number of cover stories for Hydro One depends on current market conditions and Hydro One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hydro One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hydro One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Hydro One Short Properties
Hydro One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hydro One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hydro One often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hydro One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydro One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 600.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79 M |
Other Information on Investing in Hydro Stock
Hydro One financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hydro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hydro with respect to the benefits of owning Hydro One security.