Golden Metal (UK) Price Prediction
| GMET Stock | 33.00 1.00 3.13% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Golden Metal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Metal Resources from the perspective of Golden Metal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Golden Metal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Golden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Golden Metal after-hype prediction price | GBX 33.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Golden |
Golden Metal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Metal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Metal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Golden Metal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Metal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Metal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Metal's historical news coverage. Golden Metal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.16 and 35.94, respectively. We have considered Golden Metal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Metal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Metal Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Metal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Metal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Metal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.89 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.00 | 33.05 | 0.15 |
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Golden Metal Hype Timeline
Golden Metal Resources is currently traded for 33.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Golden is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Golden Metal is about 247.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.71. The company reported the revenue of 30 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1 K. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Golden Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Golden Metal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Metal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Metal's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Metal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Metal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOC | Hochschild Mining plc | (8.00) | 4 per month | 3.83 | 0.06 | 5.29 | (5.44) | 20.83 | |
| MHC | MyHealthChecked Plc | 0.00 | 1 per month | 1.17 | 0.17 | 8.19 | (3.03) | 28.21 | |
| 0R9G | Naturhouse Health SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.13 | 2.35 | (1.69) | 7.41 | |
| EEE | Empire Metals Limited | (0.15) | 5 per month | 3.07 | 0.26 | 6.53 | (4.57) | 19.39 | |
| MTL | Metals Exploration Plc | (0.25) | 6 per month | 2.57 | 0.1 | 6.48 | (4.67) | 15.83 | |
| 0QHX | Odfjell Drilling | 0.26 | 2 per month | 1.35 | 0.21 | 3.87 | (2.09) | 10.11 | |
| RSG | Resolute Mining Limited | (0.05) | 2 per month | 3.95 | 0.04 | 5.58 | (6.47) | 15.83 |
Golden Metal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Golden Metal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Golden Metal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Golden Metal Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Golden Metal based on analysis of Golden Metal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Golden Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Golden Metal's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Golden Metal
The number of cover stories for Golden Metal depends on current market conditions and Golden Metal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Metal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Metal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Golden Metal Short Properties
Golden Metal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Golden Metal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Golden Metal Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Golden Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M | |
| Shares Float | 68 M |
Additional Tools for Golden Stock Analysis
When running Golden Metal's price analysis, check to measure Golden Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.