Global Partners Lp Stock Price Prediction
| GLP Stock | USD 57.26 0.17 0.30% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.95 | Wall Street Target Price 54 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 |
Using Global Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Partners LP from the perspective of Global Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Partners using Global Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Partners' stock price.
Global Partners Short Interest
An investor who is long Global Partners may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Global Partners and may potentially protect profits, hedge Global Partners with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 47.5511 | Short Percent 0.0408 | Short Ratio 7.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 669.4 K | 50 Day MA 52.643 |
Global Partners LP Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Partners' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Partners LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Partners' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Partners.
Global Partners Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Global Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Partners LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Partners' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Partners to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 57.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Global contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Global Partners LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Global Partners trading at USD 57.26, that is roughly USD 0.0251 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Global Partners' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Global Partners LP options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Global |
Global Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Partners' historical news coverage. Global Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.72 and 59.92, respectively. We have considered Global Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Partners LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Partners Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.60 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
57.26 | 57.32 | 0.10 |
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Global Partners Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of March Global Partners LP is traded for 57.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Global is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 57.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Global Partners is about 1134.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.24. The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.16 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 110.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.11 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Global Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAA | Plains All American | 0.09 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.15 | 2.83 | (2.19) | 10.03 | |
| NS | NuStar Energy LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | (0.27) | 8 per month | 1.77 | 0.08 | 4.31 | (3.12) | 17.19 | |
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | (0.60) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.10 | 2.57 | (2.18) | 7.33 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | (0.13) | 11 per month | 1.51 | 0.15 | 2.60 | (2.64) | 6.71 | |
| CEQP | Crestwood Equity Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | (1.72) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.12 | (3.33) | 15.93 | |
| MPLX | MPLX LP | (0.26) | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 2.55 | (2.08) | 5.75 | |
| HEP | Holly Energy Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.56 | 0.09 | 3.35 | (2.05) | 7.93 | |
| DLNG | Dynagas LNG Partners | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.41 | (3.85) | 15.85 | |
| GLOP-PA | GasLog Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.08 | 1.36 | (0.96) | 4.80 | |
| GLOP-PC | GasLog Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.1 | 0.95 | (0.99) | 8.40 |
Global Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Partners Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Partners stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Partners LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Partners based on analysis of Global Partners hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Partners's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Partners's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0851 | 0.1 | 0.0772 | 0.08 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0625 | 0.0871 | 0.0918 | 0.047 |
Story Coverage note for Global Partners
The number of cover stories for Global Partners depends on current market conditions and Global Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Partners Short Properties
Global Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Partners LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.2 M |
Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis
When running Global Partners' price analysis, check to measure Global Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Global Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.