Cgi Inc Stock Price Prediction
GIB Stock | USD 102.97 2.45 2.44% |
Momentum 23
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1057 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.3778 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1479 | Wall Street Target Price 112.4613 |
Using CGI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CGI Inc from the perspective of CGI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CGI using CGI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CGI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CGI's stock price.
CGI Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CGI's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CGI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CGI stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 109.8012 | Short Percent 0.0053 | Short Ratio 6.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 111.6182 |
CGI Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CGI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CGI Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CGI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CGI.
CGI Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
CGI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CGI Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CGI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CGI stock will not fluctuate a lot when CGI's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CGI to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CGI after-hype prediction price | USD 102.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CGI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CGI Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With CGI trading at USD 102.97, that is roughly USD 0.0315 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CGI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CGI Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CGI |
CGI After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CGI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CGI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CGI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
CGI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CGI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CGI's historical news coverage. CGI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.40 and 104.36, respectively. We have considered CGI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CGI is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CGI Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
CGI Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CGI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CGI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CGI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 12 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.97 | 102.88 | 0.09 |
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CGI Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 CGI Inc is traded for 102.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. CGI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 102.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on CGI is about 201.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 103.04. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of CGI was currently reported as 43.84. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.43. CGI Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of January 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out CGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CGI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CGI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CGI's future price movements. Getting to know how CGI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CGI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EXLS | ExlService Holdings | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.09 | (2.63) | 10.29 | |
ASGN | ASGN Inc | 1.69 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.64 | (4.67) | 9.60 | |
WNS | WNS Holdings | (0.29) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.14 | 4.57 | (3.21) | 26.44 | |
IT | Gartner | 2.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.90 | (2.18) | 5.12 | |
HCKT | The Hackett Group | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.35 | (2.29) | 4.67 | |
SAIC | Science Applications International | 1.40 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.48 | (4.16) | 13.67 | |
LDOS | Leidos Holdings | 0.89 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.53 | (4.13) | 11.05 | |
PSN | Parsons Corp | 2.75 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.54 | (4.93) | 13.43 | |
CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | (0.13) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.51 | (4.06) | 15.50 | |
G | Genpact Limited | (0.78) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.15 | 2.24 | (2.26) | 13.98 | |
CACI | CACI International | 2.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.54 | (4.30) | 13.03 | |
PRFT | Perficient | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
NABL | N Able Inc | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.89 | (2.68) | 32.78 |
CGI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze CGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About CGI Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CGI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CGI Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CGI based on analysis of CGI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CGI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CGI's related companies. 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 36.54 | 65.4 | 75.21 | PTB Ratio | 3.77 | 3.76 | 3.39 |
Story Coverage note for CGI
The number of cover stories for CGI depends on current market conditions and CGI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CGI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CGI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CGI Short Properties
CGI's future price predictability will typically decrease when CGI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CGI Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CGI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CGI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for CGI Stock analysis
When running CGI's price analysis, check to measure CGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CGI is operating at the current time. Most of CGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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