Firm Capital Property Stock Price Prediction

FRMUF Stock  USD 4.12  0.02  0.49%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Firm Capital's pink sheet price is roughly 60. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Firm, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Firm Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Firm Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Firm Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Firm Capital Property, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Firm Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firm Capital Property from the perspective of Firm Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firm Capital to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firm because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Firm Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Firm Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Firm Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.604.075.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.654.125.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.134.194.24
Details

Firm Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Firm Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firm Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Firm Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Firm Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Firm Capital's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firm Capital's historical news coverage. Firm Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.63 and 5.57, respectively. We have considered Firm Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.12
4.10
After-hype Price
5.57
Upside
Firm Capital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firm Capital Property is based on 3 months time horizon.

Firm Capital Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Firm Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firm Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firm Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.12
4.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Firm Capital Hype Timeline

Firm Capital Property is currently traded for 4.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Firm is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Firm Capital is about 29400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.12. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Firm Capital Property last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Firm Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Firm Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Firm Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firm Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Firm Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firm Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWYUFSmart REIT 0.00 0 per month 2.37 (0.04) 1.96 (1.90) 18.88 
SRRTFSlate Grocery REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.95  0.04  2.74 (1.97) 6.00 
PECOPhillips Edison Co 0.06 6 per month 0.80 (0.04) 1.63 (1.85) 4.97 
PPRQFChoice Properties Real 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.27 (2.55) 9.04 
RIOCFRiocan REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.95 (1.82) 8.47 
PAZRFPlaza Retail REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.72 (1.43) 7.19 
FRT-PCFederal Realty Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.61 (0.20) 1.07 (1.01) 2.87 
AKRAcadia Realty Trust 0.10 8 per month 0.86  0.05  1.97 (1.64) 4.62 
KIM-PLKimco Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.89 (0.15) 1.17 (1.41) 3.40 
UEUrban Edge Properties(0.21)10 per month 0.84  0.01  1.78 (1.57) 4.48 

Firm Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Firm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Firm Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Firm Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firm Capital Property, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firm Capital based on analysis of Firm Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firm Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firm Capital's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Firm Capital

The number of cover stories for Firm Capital depends on current market conditions and Firm Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Firm Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Firm Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Firm Capital Short Properties

Firm Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Firm Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Firm Capital Property often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Firm Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firm Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34 M

Complementary Tools for Firm Pink Sheet analysis

When running Firm Capital's price analysis, check to measure Firm Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firm Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Firm Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firm Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firm Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firm Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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