Farmland Partners Stock Price Prediction

FPI Stock  USD 11.81  0.03  0.25%   
As of 17th of February 2025, The relative strength index (RSI) of Farmland Partners' share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Farmland Partners, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Farmland Partners' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Farmland Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Farmland Partners' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.11
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.12
Wall Street Target Price
12.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.04)
Using Farmland Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmland Partners from the perspective of Farmland Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Farmland Partners using Farmland Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Farmland using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Farmland Partners' stock price.

Farmland Partners Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
Farmland Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Farmland Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Farmland Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Farmland Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when Farmland Partners' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmland Partners to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Farmland Partners after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Farmland contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Farmland Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Farmland Partners trading at USD 11.81, that is roughly USD 0.003912 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Farmland Partners' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Farmland Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Farmland Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Farmland Stock please use our How to Invest in Farmland Partners guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5211.9713.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6012.0513.50
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.2212.3313.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Farmland Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Farmland Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmland Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmland Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Farmland Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Farmland Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmland Partners' historical news coverage. Farmland Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.36 and 13.26, respectively. We have considered Farmland Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.81
11.81
After-hype Price
13.26
Upside
Farmland Partners is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmland Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.

Farmland Partners Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmland Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmland Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmland Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.43
 0.00  
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.81
11.81
0.00 
14,300  
Notes

Farmland Partners Hype Timeline

On the 17th of February 2025 Farmland Partners is traded for 11.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Farmland is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmland Partners is about 2334.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.82. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmland Partners last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2025. The entity had 1:4 split on the 17th of October 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Farmland Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Farmland Stock please use our How to Invest in Farmland Partners guide.

Farmland Partners Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Farmland Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmland Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmland Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmland Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PCHPotlatchDeltic Corp 0.76 9 per month 1.50  0.05  2.76 (2.21) 9.52 
WYWeyerhaeuser(0.33)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.11 (2.17) 7.99 
OUTOutfront Media(0.05)9 per month 1.24  0.09  2.71 (2.17) 8.47 
GLPIGaming Leisure Properties(0.64)10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.75 (1.78) 5.52 
RYNRayonier 0.04 10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.87 (2.46) 5.79 
LAMRLamar Advertising 2.28 9 per month 1.10  0.03  2.05 (1.44) 6.19 
LANDGladstone Land(0.12)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.52 (2.59) 8.25 
CCICrown Castle(1.45)11 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.66 (2.34) 7.53 

Farmland Partners Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Farmland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Farmland Partners Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Farmland Partners stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmland Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmland Partners based on analysis of Farmland Partners hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmland Partners's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmland Partners's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02310.02470.02840.027
Price To Sales Ratio10.3710.9112.5510.65

Story Coverage note for Farmland Partners

The number of cover stories for Farmland Partners depends on current market conditions and Farmland Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmland Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmland Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Farmland Partners Short Properties

Farmland Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmland Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmland Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmland Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmland Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 M

Complementary Tools for Farmland Stock analysis

When running Farmland Partners' price analysis, check to measure Farmland Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmland Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Farmland Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmland Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmland Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmland Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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