First Philippine (Philippines) Price Prediction
| FPH Stock | 57.90 0.10 0.17% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Philippine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Philippine Holdings from the perspective of First Philippine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Philippine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Philippine after-hype prediction price | PHP 57.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Philippine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Philippine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Philippine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Philippine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Philippine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Philippine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Philippine's historical news coverage. First Philippine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.67 and 59.13, respectively. We have considered First Philippine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Philippine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Philippine Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Philippine Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Philippine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Philippine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Philippine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
57.90 | 57.90 | 0.00 |
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First Philippine Hype Timeline
First Philippine Holdings is currently traded for 57.90on Philippine Stock Exchange of Philippines. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Philippine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.90. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.9. First Philippine Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out First Philippine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Philippine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Philippine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Philippine's future price movements. Getting to know how First Philippine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Philippine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LC | Lepanto Consolidated Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.01 | 0.10 | 6.41 | (5.71) | 26.19 | |
| STI | STI Education Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.15 | 4.51 | (2.78) | 9.21 | |
| CIC | Concepcion Industrial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.09 | 2.32 | (2.64) | 8.42 | |
| AUB | Asia United Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.21 | 3.49 | (3.02) | 9.68 | |
| CROWN | Crown Asia Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.70 | (2.99) | 8.82 | |
| AT | Atlas Consolidated Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (4.09) | 11.82 | |
| TFHI | Top Frontier Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | 0.06 | 6.67 | (6.24) | 14.02 | |
| UBP | Union Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.28 | (2.78) | 7.01 |
First Philippine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Philippine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Philippine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Philippine Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Philippine based on analysis of First Philippine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Philippine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Philippine's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Philippine
The number of cover stories for First Philippine depends on current market conditions and First Philippine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Philippine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Philippine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Philippine Short Properties
First Philippine's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Philippine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Philippine Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Philippine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Philippine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 487.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.1 B |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Philippine's price analysis, check to measure First Philippine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Philippine is operating at the current time. Most of First Philippine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Philippine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Philippine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Philippine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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