Founder Group Limited Stock Price Prediction
| FGL Stock | 2.80 0.41 17.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Founder Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Founder Group Limited from the perspective of Founder Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Founder Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Founder because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Founder Group after-hype prediction price | USD 2.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Founder |
Founder Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Founder Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Founder Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Founder Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Founder Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Founder Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Founder Group's historical news coverage. Founder Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 14.74, respectively. We have considered Founder Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Founder Group is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Founder Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Founder Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Founder Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Founder Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Founder Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 11.98 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.80 | 2.76 | 1.43 |
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Founder Group Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of December Founder Group Limited is traded for 2.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. Founder is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Founder Group is about 998.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.14. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. Founder Group Limited last dividend was issued on the 10th of August 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Founder Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Founder Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Founder Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Founder Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Founder Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Founder Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| J | Jacobs Solutions | 0.85 | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.04 | 2.41 | (1.97) | 9.97 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | 9.01 | 9 per month | 3.08 | (0.0006) | 4.43 | (3.57) | 19.59 | |
| VATE | Innovate Corp | 0.63 | 6 per month | 5.09 | 0.09 | 14.10 | (7.60) | 40.85 | |
| ESOA | Energy Services | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.25 | 5.45 | (2.98) | 10.94 | |
| WLGS | Wang Lee Group, | (0.26) | 3 per month | 7.71 | 0.32 | 27.73 | (12.71) | 66.06 | |
| ACA | Arcosa Inc | (2.04) | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0.09 | 3.28 | (2.46) | 7.08 | |
| ACM | Aecom Technology | 2.53 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.08 | 2.82 | (1.62) | 8.55 | |
| AGX | Argan Inc | 4.08 | 11 per month | 2.31 | 0.23 | 7.30 | (3.58) | 34.48 | |
| APG | Api Group Corp | (0.43) | 12 per month | 1.63 | (0) | 3.27 | (3.02) | 7.65 | |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group | (2.31) | 5 per month | 2.49 | 0.24 | 6.99 | (4.19) | 18.13 |
Founder Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Founder price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Founder using various technical indicators. When you analyze Founder charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Founder Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Founder Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Founder Group Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Founder Group based on analysis of Founder Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Founder Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Founder Group's related companies. | 2015 | 2016 | 2023 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.0952 | 0.082 | 0.0943 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for Founder Group
The number of cover stories for Founder Group depends on current market conditions and Founder Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Founder Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Founder Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Founder Group Short Properties
Founder Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Founder Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Founder Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Founder Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Founder Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9443 |
Check out Founder Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Construction space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Founder Group. If investors know Founder will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Founder Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Founder Group Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Founder that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Founder Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Founder Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Founder Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Founder Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Founder Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Founder Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Founder Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.