First Citizens Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

FCNCA Stock  USD 2,198  11.97  0.54%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of First Citizens' stock price is about 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Citizens' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Citizens BancShares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Citizens' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
45.94
EPS Estimate Current Year
187.4843
EPS Estimate Next Year
159.2557
Wall Street Target Price
2.3 K
Using First Citizens hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Citizens BancShares from the perspective of First Citizens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

First Citizens BancShares Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Citizens' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Citizens BancShares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Citizens' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Citizens.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Citizens to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Citizens after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2220.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Citizens' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9371,9412,431
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1392,1422,145
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1,5411,6931,880
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
44.7739.3247.66
Details

First Citizens After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Citizens at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Citizens or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Citizens, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Citizens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Citizens' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Citizens' historical news coverage. First Citizens' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,989 and 2,223, respectively. We have considered First Citizens' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,198
2,220
After-hype Price
2,223
Upside
First Citizens is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Citizens BancShares is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Citizens Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Citizens is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Citizens backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Citizens, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
3.13
  10.36 
  0.10 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,198
2,220
0.47 
7.25  
Notes

First Citizens Hype Timeline

First Citizens BancShares is currently traded for 2,198. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 10.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2220.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 7.25%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 761.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,198. The company reported the revenue of 7.6 B. Net Income was 11.47 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Citizens Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Citizens' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Citizens' future price movements. Getting to know how First Citizens' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Citizens may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PACWPacWest Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 11.32  0.05  17.58 (14.58) 104.70 
ZIONZions Bancorporation(0.39)12 per month 1.50  0.07  3.51 (2.89) 20.65 
KEYKeyCorp(0.17)5 per month 1.41  0.03  2.97 (2.51) 19.86 
CMAComerica 0.91 8 per month 1.38  0.12  3.23 (2.64) 14.10 
FHNFirst Horizon National(0.02)11 per month 1.29  0.1  3.77 (2.49) 18.94 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation 1.49 12 per month 2.15  0.04  3.91 (3.17) 19.53 
TFCTruist Financial Corp 1.10 9 per month 1.30 (0.01) 2.26 (2.46) 12.77 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated 0.17 9 per month 0.92  0.08  2.75 (2.28) 14.20 
CFGCitizens Financial Group, 0.42 5 per month 1.46  0.02  2.97 (2.80) 19.14 
USBUS Bancorp 0.14 11 per month 1.20  0.04  2.86 (2.31) 10.98 
FITBFifth Third Bancorp 0.87 7 per month 1.02  0.04  2.23 (2.01) 10.60 

First Citizens Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Citizens Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Citizens stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Citizens BancShares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Citizens based on analysis of First Citizens hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Citizens's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Citizens's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0051080.0070470.0056760.00951
Price To Sales Ratio4.432.592.711.77

Story Coverage note for First Citizens

The number of cover stories for First Citizens depends on current market conditions and First Citizens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Citizens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Citizens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Citizens Short Properties

First Citizens' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Citizens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Citizens BancShares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments908 M

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When running First Citizens' price analysis, check to measure First Citizens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Citizens is operating at the current time. Most of First Citizens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Citizens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Citizens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Citizens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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