Franklin Bsp Realty Stock Price Prediction
| FBRT Stock | USD 13.10 0.02 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.185 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.625 | Wall Street Target Price 15.2 |
Using Franklin BSP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin BSP Realty from the perspective of Franklin BSP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin BSP using Franklin BSP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin BSP's stock price.
Franklin BSP Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Franklin BSP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin BSP Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin BSP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin BSP stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin BSP's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin BSP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Franklin BSP after-hype prediction price | USD 13.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin BSP Realty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Franklin BSP trading at USD 13.1, that is roughly USD 0.006304 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin BSP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin BSP Realty options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Franklin |
Franklin BSP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin BSP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin BSP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin BSP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin BSP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin BSP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin BSP's historical news coverage. Franklin BSP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.98 and 14.18, respectively. We have considered Franklin BSP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin BSP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin BSP Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin BSP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin BSP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin BSP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin BSP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.10 | 13.08 | 0.00 |
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Franklin BSP Hype Timeline
Franklin BSP Realty is currently traded for 13.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Franklin is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin BSP is about 3666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.10. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Franklin BSP Realty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Franklin BSP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Franklin BSP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin BSP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin BSP's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin BSP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin BSP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.47 | (2.02) | 4.86 | |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.98 | (1.18) | 4.25 | |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real | 0.17 | 7 per month | 1.67 | (0.02) | 2.72 | (2.67) | 13.22 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.96 | (2.45) | 12.10 | |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.42 | (2.21) | 8.41 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.51 | (2.13) | 5.46 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.06) | 8 per month | 1.48 | (0.09) | 1.85 | (2.89) | 6.35 |
Franklin BSP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Franklin BSP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Franklin BSP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin BSP Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin BSP based on analysis of Franklin BSP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin BSP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin BSP's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.93 | 2.52 | 4.82 | 7.61 |
Story Coverage note for Franklin BSP
The number of cover stories for Franklin BSP depends on current market conditions and Franklin BSP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin BSP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin BSP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Franklin BSP Short Properties
Franklin BSP's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin BSP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin BSP Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin BSP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin BSP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 343.7 M |
Additional Tools for Franklin Stock Analysis
When running Franklin BSP's price analysis, check to measure Franklin BSP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin BSP is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin BSP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin BSP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin BSP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin BSP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.