Axa Equitable Holdings Stock Price Prediction

EQH Stock  USD 51.27  1.73  3.49%   
As of 15th of March 2025, The relative strength index (RSI) of Axa Equitable's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Axa Equitable, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Axa Equitable's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axa Equitable Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Axa Equitable's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.6867
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.2452
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.4348
Wall Street Target Price
62.7
Using Axa Equitable hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axa Equitable Holdings from the perspective of Axa Equitable response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axa Equitable using Axa Equitable's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axa using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axa Equitable's stock price.

Axa Equitable Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Axa Equitable's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Axa. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Axa Equitable stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
45.3844
Short Percent
0.0172
Short Ratio
1.59
Shares Short Prior Month
5.3 M
50 Day MA
52.152

Axa Equitable Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Axa Equitable's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Axa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Axa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Axa Equitable Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Axa Equitable's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Axa Equitable.

Axa Equitable Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
Axa Equitable's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axa Equitable Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axa Equitable's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axa Equitable stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axa Equitable's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axa Equitable to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Axa Equitable after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Axa contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Axa Equitable Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Axa Equitable trading at USD 51.27, that is roughly USD 0.0154 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Axa Equitable's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Axa Equitable Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Axa Equitable Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.1453.5855.66
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.5156.6062.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.561.651.70
Details

Axa Equitable After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Axa Equitable at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axa Equitable or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axa Equitable, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Axa Equitable Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Axa Equitable's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axa Equitable's historical news coverage. Axa Equitable's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.34 and 53.50, respectively. We have considered Axa Equitable's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51.27
51.42
After-hype Price
53.50
Upside
Axa Equitable is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axa Equitable Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Axa Equitable Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axa Equitable is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axa Equitable backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axa Equitable, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.06
  0.09 
  0.06 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.27
51.42
0.29 
381.48  
Notes

Axa Equitable Hype Timeline

On the 15th of March 2025 Axa Equitable Holdings is traded for 51.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Axa is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 51.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Axa Equitable is about 557.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.21. The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.44 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.82 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.48 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Axa Equitable Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Axa Equitable Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Axa Equitable's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axa Equitable's future price movements. Getting to know how Axa Equitable's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axa Equitable may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AIGAmerican International Group(1.83)11 per month 1.19  0.19  2.47 (1.97) 7.40 
ACGLArch Capital Group(1.19)11 per month 0.00  0.02  2.39 (2.18) 6.24 
ORIOld Republic International 0.15 10 per month 1.41  0.11  1.91 (2.58) 6.06 
SLFSun Life Financial 0.48 12 per month 0.00 (0.04) 1.52 (2.11) 8.71 
ARZGYAssicurazioni Generali SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.81  0.28  2.28 (1.50) 4.83 
ALIZYAllianz SE ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BBSEYBB Seguridade Participacoes 0.00 0 per month 1.51  0.27  2.87 (1.42) 9.88 
ALIZFAllianz SE 0.00 0 per month 1.38  0.22  3.06 (2.72) 8.48 
IGICInternational General Insurance 0.23 6 per month 0.00  0.05  2.59 (3.35) 8.14 
ESGREnstar Group Limited 0.31 8 per month 0.10  0.57  0.41 (0.28) 1.38 
WDHWaterdrop ADR(0.04)7 per month 2.50  0.13  6.35 (5.26) 21.52 
IGICWInternational General Insurance 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GSHDGoosehead Insurance(2.91)9 per month 0.00  0.03  4.49 (4.92) 21.17 

Axa Equitable Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Axa Equitable Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Axa Equitable stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axa Equitable Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axa Equitable based on analysis of Axa Equitable hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axa Equitable's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axa Equitable's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03450.03270.01990.0212
Price To Sales Ratio0.861.111.220.82

Story Coverage note for Axa Equitable

The number of cover stories for Axa Equitable depends on current market conditions and Axa Equitable's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axa Equitable is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axa Equitable's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Axa Equitable Short Properties

Axa Equitable's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axa Equitable's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axa Equitable Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axa Equitable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axa Equitable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding324.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Complementary Tools for Axa Stock analysis

When running Axa Equitable's price analysis, check to measure Axa Equitable's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axa Equitable is operating at the current time. Most of Axa Equitable's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axa Equitable's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axa Equitable's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axa Equitable to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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