Enphase Energy Stock Price Prediction

ENPH Stock  USD 58.13  0.12  0.21%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Enphase Energy's share price is below 30 as of 16th of March 2025 suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enphase Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Enphase Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Enphase Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Enphase Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.48
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6833
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.3664
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.1894
Wall Street Target Price
79.9606
Using Enphase Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enphase Energy from the perspective of Enphase Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enphase Energy using Enphase Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enphase using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enphase Energy's stock price.

Enphase Energy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Enphase Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Enphase. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Enphase Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
90.6491
Short Percent
0.2436
Short Ratio
5.01
Shares Short Prior Month
22.2 M
50 Day MA
63.702

Enphase Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Enphase Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Enphase. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Enphase can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Enphase Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Enphase Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Enphase Energy.

Enphase Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.83  
Enphase Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enphase Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enphase Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enphase Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enphase Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Enphase Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Enphase because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Enphase Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 58.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Enphase contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Enphase Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Enphase Energy trading at USD 58.13, that is roughly USD 0.0302 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Enphase Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Enphase Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Enphase Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Enphase Stock please use our How to Invest in Enphase Energy guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.3272.3875.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.3259.6362.93
Details
39 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
85.2993.72104.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.590.720.85
Details

Enphase Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Enphase Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enphase Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enphase Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Enphase Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Enphase Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enphase Energy's historical news coverage. Enphase Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.21 and 61.81, respectively. We have considered Enphase Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
58.13
58.51
After-hype Price
61.81
Upside
Enphase Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enphase Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Enphase Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enphase Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enphase Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enphase Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
3.30
  0.38 
  0.32 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.13
58.51
0.65 
250.00  
Notes

Enphase Energy Hype Timeline

Enphase Energy is currently traded for 58.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. Enphase is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Enphase Energy is about 302.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.45. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.33 B. Net Income was 102.66 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 629.14 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Enphase Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Enphase Stock please use our How to Invest in Enphase Energy guide.

Enphase Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Enphase Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enphase Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Enphase Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enphase Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FSLRFirst Solar 8.17 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.50 (5.27) 16.35 
RUNSunrun Inc 0.63 11 per month 0.00 (0.11) 8.75 (8.34) 25.30 
CSIQCanadian Solar 0.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.05 (4.95) 18.46 
SPWRSunPower 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies(0.93)11 per month 4.99  0.10  11.74 (7.83) 31.42 
NOVASunnova Energy International(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 9.79 (15.69) 81.08 
JKSJinkoSolar Holding 0.49 11 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.05 (5.69) 16.66 
MAXNMaxeon Solar Technologies 0.27 4 per month 0.00 (0.11) 12.29 (9.46) 33.53 

Enphase Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Enphase price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enphase using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enphase charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Enphase Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Enphase Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Enphase Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Enphase Energy based on analysis of Enphase Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Enphase Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Enphase Energy's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover10.8410.617.7910.32
Days Of Inventory On Hand40.2963.2685.8990.18

Story Coverage note for Enphase Energy

The number of cover stories for Enphase Energy depends on current market conditions and Enphase Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enphase Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enphase Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Enphase Energy Short Properties

Enphase Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enphase Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enphase Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enphase Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enphase Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding140 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Complementary Tools for Enphase Stock analysis

When running Enphase Energy's price analysis, check to measure Enphase Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enphase Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Enphase Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enphase Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enphase Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enphase Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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