Digitalocean Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| DOCN Stock | USD 38.41 0.12 0.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.65 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7477 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8465 | Wall Street Target Price 40.7273 |
Using DigitalOcean Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DigitalOcean Holdings from the perspective of DigitalOcean Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
DigitalOcean Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DigitalOcean Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DigitalOcean. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DigitalOcean can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DigitalOcean Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DigitalOcean Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DigitalOcean Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DigitalOcean Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DigitalOcean because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DigitalOcean Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 38.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
DigitalOcean |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DigitalOcean Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DigitalOcean Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DigitalOcean Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DigitalOcean Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DigitalOcean Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DigitalOcean Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DigitalOcean Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DigitalOcean Holdings' historical news coverage. DigitalOcean Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.39 and 41.49, respectively. We have considered DigitalOcean Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DigitalOcean Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DigitalOcean Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
DigitalOcean Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DigitalOcean Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DigitalOcean Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DigitalOcean Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 3.05 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.41 | 38.44 | 0.08 |
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DigitalOcean Holdings Hype Timeline
DigitalOcean Holdings is currently traded for 38.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. DigitalOcean is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on DigitalOcean Holdings is about 115.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 692.88 M. Net Income was 19.41 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 364.39 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out DigitalOcean Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DigitalOcean Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DigitalOcean Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DigitalOcean Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how DigitalOcean Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DigitalOcean Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRWD | Crowdstrike Holdings | 11.06 | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.20 | 4.11 | (3.03) | 12.69 | |
| ZS | Zscaler | 5.36 | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.16 | 3.89 | (2.77) | 9.86 | |
| OKTA | Okta Inc | (3.67) | 5 per month | 1.37 | 0.09 | 3.43 | (2.53) | 8.76 | |
| PATH | Uipath Inc | 0.70 | 9 per month | 2.22 | 0.08 | 4.86 | (3.82) | 12.04 | |
| MDB | MongoDB | 2.88 | 10 per month | 3.52 | (0.01) | 5.41 | (4.05) | 28.87 | |
| NET | Cloudflare | 1.54 | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.18 | 5.54 | (2.80) | 13.45 | |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | 8.12 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.05 | 2.59 | (3.61) | 9.85 | |
| SPLK | Splunk Inc | (4.89) | 31 per month | 1.70 | 0.03 | 4.36 | (3.33) | 10.70 |
DigitalOcean Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DigitalOcean price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DigitalOcean using various technical indicators. When you analyze DigitalOcean charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About DigitalOcean Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DigitalOcean Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DigitalOcean Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DigitalOcean Holdings based on analysis of DigitalOcean Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DigitalOcean Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DigitalOcean Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 4.7 | 1.66 | 4.11 | 2.38 | Receivables Turnover | 10.82 | 10.71 | 11.14 | 12.58 |
Story Coverage note for DigitalOcean Holdings
The number of cover stories for DigitalOcean Holdings depends on current market conditions and DigitalOcean Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DigitalOcean Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DigitalOcean Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DigitalOcean Holdings Short Properties
DigitalOcean Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when DigitalOcean Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DigitalOcean Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DigitalOcean Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DigitalOcean Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 411.8 M |
Check out DigitalOcean Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in DigitalOcean Stock, please use our How to Invest in DigitalOcean Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DigitalOcean Holdings. If investors know DigitalOcean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DigitalOcean Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.65 | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share 8.348 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 | Return On Assets 0.0438 |
The market value of DigitalOcean Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DigitalOcean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DigitalOcean Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DigitalOcean Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DigitalOcean Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DigitalOcean Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DigitalOcean Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DigitalOcean Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DigitalOcean Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.