Dollar General Stock Price Prediction
| DG Stock | USD 79.02 0.93 1.16% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7502 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8525 | Wall Street Target Price 86.5121 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.9383 |
Using Dollar General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dollar General from the perspective of Dollar General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dollar General using Dollar General's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dollar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dollar General's stock price.
Dollar General Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Dollar General's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dollar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dollar General stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 93.4041 | Short Percent 0.0545 | Short Ratio 3.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.9 M | 50 Day MA 73.947 |
Dollar General Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dollar General's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dollar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dollar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dollar General. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dollar General's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dollar General.
Dollar General Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Dollar General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar General stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar General stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar General's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dollar General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dollar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dollar General after-hype prediction price | USD 79.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dollar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dollar General will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Dollar General trading at USD 79.02, that is roughly USD 0.0336 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dollar General's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dollar General options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Dollar |
Dollar General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dollar General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dollar General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dollar General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dollar General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dollar General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dollar General's historical news coverage. Dollar General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.38 and 82.16, respectively. We have considered Dollar General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dollar General is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dollar General is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dollar General Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dollar General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dollar General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dollar General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.37 | 0.75 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
79.02 | 79.77 | 0.95 |
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Dollar General Hype Timeline
As of March 15, 2025 Dollar General is listed for 79.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Dollar is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 79.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 37.8%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.95%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Dollar General is about 2221.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.03. The company generated the yearly revenue of 38.69 B. Reported Net Income was 1.66 B with gross profit of 12.02 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Dollar General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dollar General Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dollar General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dollar General's future price movements. Getting to know how Dollar General's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dollar General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 5.65 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.14 | 3.06 | (3.28) | 15.56 | |
| BIG | Big Lots | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corp | (0.51) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.55 | (2.61) | 8.79 | |
| WMT | Walmart | (2.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.88 | (2.68) | 9.31 | |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | (3.84) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.43 | (4.05) | 11.36 | |
| TGT | Target | 1.56 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.58 | (2.92) | 8.20 |
Dollar General Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dollar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dollar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dollar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dollar General Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dollar General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dollar General, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dollar General based on analysis of Dollar General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dollar General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dollar General's related companies. | 2019 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0173 | 0.00563 | 0.006006 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.77 | 1.42 | 1.35 |
Story Coverage note for Dollar General
The number of cover stories for Dollar General depends on current market conditions and Dollar General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dollar General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dollar General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dollar General Short Properties
Dollar General's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dollar General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dollar General often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dollar General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dollar General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 537.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Dollar Stock analysis
When running Dollar General's price analysis, check to measure Dollar General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar General is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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