Dana Inc Stock Price Prediction
| DAN Stock | USD 10.12 0.57 5.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8216 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1423 | Wall Street Target Price 10.1429 |
Using Dana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dana Inc from the perspective of Dana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Dana Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dana's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dana Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dana's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dana.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dana to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dana after-hype prediction price | USD 10.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dana |
Dana After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dana's historical news coverage. Dana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.21 and 13.95, respectively. We have considered Dana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dana is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dana Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dana Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.90 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.12 | 10.08 | 0.40 |
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Dana Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Dana Inc is traded for 10.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Dana is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Dana is about 1679.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.10. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dana Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 1st of June 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Dana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dana's future price movements. Getting to know how Dana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.29 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.24 | (2.36) | 7.93 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (1.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.08 | (4.22) | 10.66 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.80 | (3.14) | 8.85 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.94) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.31 | (4.97) | 15.31 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (3.87) | 11 per month | 0.92 | 0.12 | 3.10 | (2.03) | 14.67 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | 0.39 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.14 | (2.06) | 13.91 | |
| MNRO | Monro Muffler Brake | 2.42 | 7 per month | 1.64 | (0.03) | 4.55 | (2.57) | 10.48 | |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | 0.09 | 9 per month | 3.45 | (0.01) | 8.38 | (6.22) | 19.99 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (0.72) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.00 | (3.53) | 9.76 |
Dana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dana Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dana based on analysis of Dana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dana's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0176 | 0.0267 | 0.0275 | 0.0477 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.22 |
Story Coverage note for Dana
The number of cover stories for Dana depends on current market conditions and Dana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dana Short Properties
Dana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dana Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 144.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 529 M |
Check out Dana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dana. If investors know Dana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dana listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share 72.058 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Dana Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dana's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dana's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dana's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dana's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.