Cna Financial Stock Price Prediction
| CNA Stock | USD 49.00 0.92 1.91% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.875 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.175 | Wall Street Target Price 48 |
Using CNA Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNA Financial from the perspective of CNA Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNA Financial using CNA Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNA Financial's stock price.
CNA Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CNA Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CNA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CNA Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 48.315 | Short Percent 0.0443 | Short Ratio 2.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 48.526 |
CNA Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNA Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNA Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNA Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNA Financial.
CNA Financial Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
CNA Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNA Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNA Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNA Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNA Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNA Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CNA Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 48.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNA Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With CNA Financial trading at USD 49.0, that is roughly USD 0.0159 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNA Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNA Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CNA |
CNA Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNA Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNA Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNA Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNA Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNA Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNA Financial's historical news coverage. CNA Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.66 and 50.30, respectively. We have considered CNA Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNA Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNA Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNA Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNA Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNA Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNA Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.32 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.00 | 48.98 | 0.04 |
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CNA Financial Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 CNA Financial is traded for 49.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. CNA is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on CNA Financial is about 422.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.99. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CNA Financial last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CNA Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CNA Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNA Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNA Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNA Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNA Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (0.80) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.62 | (2.27) | 15.02 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | (1.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.63 | (3.04) | 7.37 | |
| DGICB | Donegal Group B | (1.09) | 7 per month | 2.62 | 0.07 | 4.71 | (5.55) | 17.15 | |
| ARGO-PA | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.89 | 0.25 | (0.16) | 0.65 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 3.99 | (2.92) | 9.43 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.08 | 2.17 | (3.10) | 9.56 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | 1.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.56 | (2.98) | 17.29 | |
| RLI | RLI Corp | (0.50) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.83 | (2.00) | 9.92 | |
| ARGO | Argo Group International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
CNA Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CNA Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CNA Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNA Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNA Financial based on analysis of CNA Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNA Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNA Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0855 | 0.0686 | 0.0617 | 0.0648 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.97 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
Story Coverage note for CNA Financial
The number of cover stories for CNA Financial depends on current market conditions and CNA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNA Financial Short Properties
CNA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 270.8 M |
Complementary Tools for CNA Stock analysis
When running CNA Financial's price analysis, check to measure CNA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CNA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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