Churchill Downs (Germany) Price Prediction
| CHR Stock | 127.00 3.00 2.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Churchill Downs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Churchill Downs Incorporated from the perspective of Churchill Downs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Churchill Downs to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Churchill because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Churchill Downs after-hype prediction price | EUR 127.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Churchill |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Churchill Downs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Churchill Downs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Churchill Downs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Churchill Downs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Churchill Downs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Churchill Downs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Churchill Downs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Churchill Downs' historical news coverage. Churchill Downs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 125.38 and 128.62, respectively. We have considered Churchill Downs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Churchill Downs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Churchill Downs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Churchill Downs Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Churchill Downs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Churchill Downs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Churchill Downs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
127.00 | 127.00 | 0.00 |
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Churchill Downs Hype Timeline
Churchill Downs is currently traded for 127.00on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Churchill is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Churchill Downs is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 127.00. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.76. Churchill Downs last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 1:2 split on the 22nd of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Churchill Downs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Churchill Downs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Churchill Downs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Churchill Downs' future price movements. Getting to know how Churchill Downs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Churchill Downs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PPB | Flutter Entertainment PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.12 | 4.96 | (2.61) | 13.73 | |
| E3G1 | Evolution AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.80 | (3.26) | 18.32 | |
| CHR | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.01 | 2.33 | (2.34) | 9.66 | |
| CHR | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.01 | 2.42 | (2.32) | 10.32 | |
| 1WE | La Franaise des | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.77 | (2.86) | 11.42 | |
| TJW | Scientific Games | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.93 | (3.55) | 15.34 | |
| GF8 | Greek Organization of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.54 | (2.81) | 9.29 | |
| 7IG | International Game Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.75 | (2.94) | 11.76 | |
| SOK | Sankyo Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.15 | (2.99) | 8.30 |
Churchill Downs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Churchill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Churchill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Churchill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Churchill Downs Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Churchill Downs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Churchill Downs Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Churchill Downs based on analysis of Churchill Downs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Churchill Downs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Churchill Downs's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Churchill Downs
The number of cover stories for Churchill Downs depends on current market conditions and Churchill Downs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Churchill Downs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Churchill Downs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Churchill Downs Short Properties
Churchill Downs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Churchill Downs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Churchill Downs Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Churchill Downs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Churchill Downs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.4 M |
Additional Tools for Churchill Stock Analysis
When running Churchill Downs' price analysis, check to measure Churchill Downs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Churchill Downs is operating at the current time. Most of Churchill Downs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Churchill Downs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Churchill Downs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Churchill Downs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.