Chemed Corp Stock Price Prediction
| CHE Stock | USD 566.43 5.96 1.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.014 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 7.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 23.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.89 | Wall Street Target Price 663.6667 |
Using Chemed Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chemed Corp from the perspective of Chemed Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chemed Corp using Chemed Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chemed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chemed Corp's stock price.
Chemed Corp Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Chemed Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chemed Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chemed Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chemed Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chemed Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chemed Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chemed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chemed Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 566.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chemed contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chemed Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Chemed Corp trading at USD 566.43, that is roughly USD 0.0991 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chemed Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chemed Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Chemed |
Chemed Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chemed Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chemed Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chemed Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chemed Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chemed Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chemed Corp's historical news coverage. Chemed Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 564.46 and 568.16, respectively. We have considered Chemed Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chemed Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chemed Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chemed Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chemed Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chemed Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chemed Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.85 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
566.43 | 566.31 | 0.02 |
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Chemed Corp Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of December Chemed Corp is traded for 566.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chemed is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 566.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 64.24%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Chemed Corp is about 1541.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 566.43. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.33. Chemed Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Chemed Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chemed Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chemed Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chemed Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Chemed Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chemed Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUM | Humana Inc | 2.50 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.69 | (3.94) | 14.35 | |
| CI | Cigna Corp | 2.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.94 | (2.89) | 9.74 | |
| ELV | Elevance Health | (2.97) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.97 | (2.93) | 13.29 | |
| CNC | Centene Corp | 0.95 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.38 | (4.00) | 12.57 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | (1.45) | 5 per month | 1.73 | (0.04) | 2.53 | (1.90) | 9.77 | |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare | (1.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.52 | (3.81) | 21.48 | |
| ALHC | Alignment Healthcare LLC | (0.46) | 12 per month | 3.70 | 0.11 | 8.66 | (4.65) | 34.84 |
Chemed Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chemed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chemed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chemed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chemed Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chemed Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chemed Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chemed Corp based on analysis of Chemed Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chemed Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chemed Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002656 | 0.002889 | 0.002671 | 0.002537 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.88 | 3.57 | 3.89 | 4.08 |
Story Coverage note for Chemed Corp
The number of cover stories for Chemed Corp depends on current market conditions and Chemed Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chemed Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chemed Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Chemed Corp Short Properties
Chemed Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chemed Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chemed Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chemed Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chemed Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 264 M |
Complementary Tools for Chemed Stock analysis
When running Chemed Corp's price analysis, check to measure Chemed Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chemed Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chemed Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chemed Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chemed Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chemed Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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