Confluent Stock Price Prediction
| CFLT Stock | USD 29.98 1.49 5.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2629 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.349 | Wall Street Target Price 32.5313 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.25 |
Using Confluent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Confluent from the perspective of Confluent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Confluent Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Confluent's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Confluent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Confluent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Confluent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Confluent's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Confluent.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Confluent to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Confluent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Confluent after-hype prediction price | USD 29.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Confluent |
Confluent After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Confluent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Confluent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Confluent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Confluent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Confluent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Confluent's historical news coverage. Confluent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.57 and 33.41, respectively. We have considered Confluent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Confluent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Confluent is based on 3 months time horizon.
Confluent Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Confluent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Confluent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Confluent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 3.42 | 0.01 | 1.34 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.98 | 29.99 | 0.03 |
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Confluent Hype Timeline
Confluent is currently traded for 29.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.34. Confluent is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Confluent is about 184.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.32. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 776.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (442.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 384.7 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Confluent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Confluent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Confluent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Confluent's future price movements. Getting to know how Confluent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Confluent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | (0.89) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.57 | (4.36) | 22.00 | |
| DOCS | Doximity | (0.20) | 9 per month | 2.26 | 0.12 | 5.69 | (3.81) | 43.10 | |
| GTLB | Gitlab Inc | (0.57) | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.05 | 4.86 | (3.61) | 15.46 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | 0.15 | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.22 | 4.27 | (2.91) | 15.85 | |
| MNDY | MondayCom | 10.79 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.22 | (5.31) | 21.57 |
Confluent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Confluent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Confluent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Confluent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Confluent Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Confluent stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Confluent, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Confluent based on analysis of Confluent hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Confluent's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Confluent's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 18.09 | 9.44 | 34.21 | 29.8 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 3.0E-6 | 64.71 | 74.41 | 85.03 |
Story Coverage note for Confluent
The number of cover stories for Confluent depends on current market conditions and Confluent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Confluent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Confluent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Confluent Short Properties
Confluent's future price predictability will typically decrease when Confluent's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Confluent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Confluent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Confluent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Additional Tools for Confluent Stock Analysis
When running Confluent's price analysis, check to measure Confluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Confluent is operating at the current time. Most of Confluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Confluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Confluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Confluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.