Confluent Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CFLT Stock | USD 26.36 0.56 2.17% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Confluent is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Confluent given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Confluent, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Confluent Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Confluent Stock please use our How to Invest in Confluent guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Confluent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Confluent. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Confluent |
Execute Confluent Buy or Sell Advice
The Confluent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Confluent. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Confluent or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Confluent's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Confluent Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Confluent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Confluent has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 963.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (345.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 706.17 M. | |
| Confluent has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Loop Capital Lowers Confluent, Inc. Price Target to 30, Maintains Hold Rating |
Confluent Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Confluent's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Confluent's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Confluent daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Confluent price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Confluent returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Confluent.
| Mean Return | -0.27 | Value At Risk | -6.21 | Potential Upside | 5.23 | Standard Deviation | 4.72 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Confluent historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Confluent Stock Institutional Investors
The Confluent's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Confluent's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.4 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 3.4 M | Optimus Prime Fund Management Co., Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 3.2 M | Jericho Capital Asset Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 2.9 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Pictet Asset Manangement Sa | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 30.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 24.8 M |
Confluent Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Confluent or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Confluent's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Confluent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Confluent Volatility Alert
Confluent exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.25 and kurtosis of 12.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Confluent's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Confluent's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Confluent Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Confluent's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Confluent's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Confluent and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Confluent or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Confluent's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Confluent by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Confluent to competition |
| Fundamentals | Confluent | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.36) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.41) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 272.94 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.48 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.77 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 17.26 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 9.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 9.14 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 963.64 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 706.17 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (419.15 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (345.06 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.96 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.94 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.11 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.83 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 33.46 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.07) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.59 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 37.73 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.06 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.8 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.69 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.99 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.76 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 2.69 B |
Note: Disposition of 1440 shares by Kong Phan of Confluent at 31.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Confluent Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Confluent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Confluent Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Confluent? Buying financial instruments such as Confluent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Confluent Stock Analysis
When running Confluent's price analysis, check to measure Confluent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Confluent is operating at the current time. Most of Confluent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Confluent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Confluent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Confluent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.