Caterpillar (Germany) Price Prediction

CAT1 Stock  EUR 351.00  1.00  0.29%   
As of 22nd of December 2024, The value of RSI of Caterpillar's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caterpillar, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Caterpillar's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Caterpillar and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Caterpillar's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caterpillar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Caterpillar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caterpillar from the perspective of Caterpillar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caterpillar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caterpillar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Caterpillar after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 351.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Caterpillar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
315.90359.50361.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
338.65340.66342.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
345.00371.00397.00
Details

Caterpillar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Caterpillar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caterpillar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caterpillar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Caterpillar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Caterpillar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caterpillar's historical news coverage. Caterpillar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 348.99 and 353.01, respectively. We have considered Caterpillar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
351.00
348.99
Downside
351.00
After-hype Price
353.01
Upside
Caterpillar is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caterpillar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Caterpillar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caterpillar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caterpillar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caterpillar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.01
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
351.00
351.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Caterpillar Hype Timeline

Caterpillar is currently traded for 351.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Caterpillar is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Caterpillar is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 351.00. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55. Caterpillar recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Caterpillar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.

Caterpillar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Caterpillar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caterpillar's future price movements. Getting to know how Caterpillar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caterpillar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Caterpillar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caterpillar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caterpillar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caterpillar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Caterpillar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Caterpillar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caterpillar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on analysis of Caterpillar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caterpillar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caterpillar's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Caterpillar

The number of cover stories for Caterpillar depends on current market conditions and Caterpillar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caterpillar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caterpillar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Caterpillar Short Properties

Caterpillar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caterpillar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caterpillar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caterpillar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caterpillar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding516.3 M

Complementary Tools for Caterpillar Stock analysis

When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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