Baytex Energy Corp Stock Price Prediction
| BTE Stock | USD 2.15 0.10 4.88% |
Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.544 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2233 | Wall Street Target Price 3.4732 |
Using Baytex Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baytex Energy Corp from the perspective of Baytex Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Baytex Energy using Baytex Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Baytex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Baytex Energy's stock price.
Baytex Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Baytex Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Baytex. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Baytex Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.9887 | Short Ratio 1.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 41.9 M | 50 Day MA 2.4298 | Shares Short 38.4 M |
Baytex Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Baytex Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Baytex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Baytex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Baytex Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Baytex Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Baytex Energy.
Baytex Energy Implied Volatility | 2.63 |
Baytex Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Baytex Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Baytex Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Baytex Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Baytex Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Baytex Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Baytex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Baytex Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 2.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Baytex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Baytex Energy Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.16% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Baytex Energy trading at USD 2.15, that is roughly USD 0.003534 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Baytex Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Baytex Energy Corp options at the current volatility level of 2.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Baytex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baytex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baytex Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Baytex Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baytex Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baytex Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Baytex Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Baytex Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baytex Energy's historical news coverage. Baytex Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.07, respectively. We have considered Baytex Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Baytex Energy is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baytex Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Baytex Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Baytex Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baytex Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baytex Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.93 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.15 | 2.14 | 0.47 |
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Baytex Energy Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Baytex Energy Corp is traded for 2.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Baytex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Baytex Energy is about 4883.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.16. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Baytex Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Baytex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Baytex Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Baytex Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baytex Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Baytex Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baytex Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VET | Vermilion Energy | 0.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.79 | (4.03) | 14.06 | |
| OBE | Obsidian Energy | (0.16) | 6 per month | 3.01 | 0.06 | 5.08 | (3.50) | 23.14 | |
| CNQ | Canadian Natural Resources | 0.53 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.15 | (2.88) | 8.71 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | 0.87 | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.05 | 3.03 | (3.77) | 13.37 | |
| MGY | Magnolia Oil Gas | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.81 | (3.30) | 9.02 | |
| SBOW | SilverBow Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESTE | Earthstone Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VTLE | Vital Energy | (1.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.35 | (6.93) | 18.53 | |
| CPG | CPG Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| COP | ConocoPhillips | 1.45 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.45 | (2.59) | 9.02 | |
| GPRK | GeoPark | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.50 | (5.31) | 15.00 |
Baytex Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Baytex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baytex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baytex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Baytex Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Baytex Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Baytex Energy Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baytex Energy based on analysis of Baytex Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Baytex Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Baytex Energy's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0241 | 0.0229 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.71 | 0.67 |
Story Coverage note for Baytex Energy
The number of cover stories for Baytex Energy depends on current market conditions and Baytex Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baytex Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baytex Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Baytex Energy Short Properties
Baytex Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baytex Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Baytex Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baytex Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baytex Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 800.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Baytex Stock analysis
When running Baytex Energy's price analysis, check to measure Baytex Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baytex Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Baytex Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baytex Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baytex Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baytex Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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