Braze Inc Stock Price Prediction

BRZE Stock  USD 35.28  2.17  6.55%   
The relative strength indicator of Braze's share price is below 30 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Braze Inc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 27

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Braze's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Braze and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Braze's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Braze Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Braze's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1106
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.291
Wall Street Target Price
52.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.01)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.227
Using Braze hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Braze Inc from the perspective of Braze response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Braze using Braze's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Braze using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Braze's stock price.

Braze Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Braze's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Braze. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Braze stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
38.5499
Short Percent
0.0495
Short Ratio
3.48
Shares Short Prior Month
4.6 M
50 Day MA
41.1426

Braze Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Braze's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Braze. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Braze can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Braze Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Braze's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Braze.

Braze Implied Volatility

    
  0.74  
Braze's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Braze Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Braze's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Braze stock will not fluctuate a lot when Braze's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Braze to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Braze because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Braze after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Braze contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Braze Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Braze trading at USD 35.28, that is roughly USD 0.0163 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Braze's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Braze Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Braze Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7540.5443.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.7935.7838.76
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
47.7852.5058.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Braze. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Braze's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Braze's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Braze Inc.

Braze After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Braze at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Braze or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Braze, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Braze Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Braze's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Braze's historical news coverage. Braze's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.87 and 37.85, respectively. We have considered Braze's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.28
34.86
After-hype Price
37.85
Upside
Braze is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Braze Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Braze Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Braze is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braze backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Braze, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
2.99
  0.42 
  0.12 
11 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.28
34.86
1.19 
247.11  
Notes

Braze Hype Timeline

Braze Inc is currently traded for 35.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Braze is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Braze is about 854.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.16. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.14. Braze Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Braze Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Braze Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Braze's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Braze's future price movements. Getting to know how Braze's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Braze may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENFNEnfusion(0.03)11 per month 1.62  0.13  3.38 (2.60) 10.10 
FRSHFreshworks(0.42)10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.97 (4.28) 15.73 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(0.27)10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.61 (4.14) 15.32 
LAWCS Disco LLC 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.00 (4.79) 17.13 
PYCRPaycor HCM 0.01 8 per month 0.66  0.12  1.37 (1.47) 26.32 
PWSCPowerschool Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ETWOE2open Parent Holdings(0.16)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.83 (5.24) 13.69 
MNTVMomentive Global 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SPTSprout Social(0.62)6 per month 0.00 (0.13) 4.34 (4.31) 13.02 
GBTGGlobal Business Travel(0.05)15 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.16 (3.48) 8.24 
AMSWAAMSWA Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
APPFAppfolio(2.58)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.40 (3.87) 11.12 
AGYSAgilysys 0.34 9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.48 (5.60) 24.77 
MIXTMix Telemats 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
INSTInstructure Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MODNModel N 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JAMFJamf Holding(0.03)6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.03 (2.75) 11.98 
INTAIntapp Inc(2.50)11 per month 0.00 (0.01) 4.07 (4.69) 13.60 

Braze Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Braze price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Braze using various technical indicators. When you analyze Braze charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Braze Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Braze stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Braze Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Braze based on analysis of Braze hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Braze's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Braze's related companies.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover26.8425.5
Days Of Inventory On Hand104.1870.53

Story Coverage note for Braze

The number of cover stories for Braze depends on current market conditions and Braze's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Braze is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Braze's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Braze Short Properties

Braze's future price predictability will typically decrease when Braze's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Braze Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Braze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments476.1 M

Complementary Tools for Braze Stock analysis

When running Braze's price analysis, check to measure Braze's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Braze is operating at the current time. Most of Braze's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Braze's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Braze's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Braze to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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