Beach Energy (Australia) Price Prediction
| BPT Stock | 1.36 0.03 2.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.19 | Wall Street Target Price 1.52 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
Using Beach Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beach Energy from the perspective of Beach Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Beach Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Beach because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Beach Energy after-hype prediction price | AUD 1.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Beach |
Beach Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Beach Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beach Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beach Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Beach Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Beach Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beach Energy's historical news coverage. Beach Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.55, respectively. We have considered Beach Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Beach Energy is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beach Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Beach Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beach Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beach Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beach Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.20 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.36 | 1.35 | 0.74 |
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Beach Energy Hype Timeline
Beach Energy is currently traded for 1.36on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Beach is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Beach Energy is about 14000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.36. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Beach Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2024. The firm had 1:7 split on the 27th of May 2002. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Beach Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Beach Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Beach Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beach Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Beach Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beach Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBCPJ | Westpac Banking | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.14 | (0.06) | 0.39 | (0.37) | 1.27 | |
| ASK | ABACUS STORAGE KING | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.33 | (1.71) | 6.25 | |
| ODY | Odyssey Energy | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.00 | (9.09) | 31.82 | |
| SGM | Sims | 0.12 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (2.38) | 8.95 | |
| IDA | Indiana Resources | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.81 | 0.09 | 4.71 | (4.50) | 14.98 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.67 | 0.11 | 4.32 | (2.79) | 32.32 | |
| PBH | Pointsbet Holdings | 0.02 | 3 per month | 2.42 | 0.20 | 7.25 | (4.29) | 15.06 |
Beach Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Beach price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beach using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beach charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Beach Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Beach Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Beach Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Beach Energy based on analysis of Beach Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Beach Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Beach Energy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Beach Energy
The number of cover stories for Beach Energy depends on current market conditions and Beach Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beach Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beach Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Beach Energy Short Properties
Beach Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Beach Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Beach Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Beach Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beach Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172 M |
Additional Tools for Beach Stock Analysis
When running Beach Energy's price analysis, check to measure Beach Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beach Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Beach Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beach Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beach Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beach Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.