Boot Barn Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BOOT Stock | USD 101.81 0.90 0.89% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.343 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2545 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.879 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8139 | Wall Street Target Price 189.0769 |
Using Boot Barn hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boot Barn Holdings from the perspective of Boot Barn response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boot Barn using Boot Barn's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boot using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boot Barn's stock price.
Boot Barn Short Interest
An investor who is long Boot Barn may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Boot Barn and may potentially protect profits, hedge Boot Barn with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 140.0591 | Short Percent 0.1298 | Short Ratio 3.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 140.0882 |
Boot Barn Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Boot Barn's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Boot. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Boot can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Boot Barn Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Boot Barn's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Boot Barn.
Boot Barn Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Boot Barn's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boot Barn Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boot Barn's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boot Barn stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boot Barn's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boot Barn to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boot because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Boot Barn after-hype prediction price | USD 101.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Boot contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Boot Barn Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Boot Barn trading at USD 101.81, that is roughly USD 0.0471 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Boot Barn's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Boot Barn Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Boot |
Boot Barn After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Boot Barn at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boot Barn or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boot Barn, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Boot Barn Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Boot Barn's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boot Barn's historical news coverage. Boot Barn's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 98.84 and 104.78, respectively. We have considered Boot Barn's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Boot Barn is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boot Barn Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Boot Barn Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Boot Barn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boot Barn backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boot Barn, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 2.95 | 0.57 | 0.06 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
101.81 | 101.81 | 0.00 |
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Boot Barn Hype Timeline
Boot Barn Holdings is currently traded for 101.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Boot is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on Boot Barn is about 2657.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.75. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Boot Barn was currently reported as 35.66. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. Boot Barn Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the May 18, 2012. The firm had 25:1 split on the 29th of October 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Boot Barn Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Boot Barn Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Boot Barn's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boot Barn's future price movements. Getting to know how Boot Barn's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boot Barn may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROST | Ross Stores | (1.14) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.84 | (2.50) | 5.08 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.96 | (6.95) | 33.45 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | (0.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.14 | (3.03) | 5.86 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.62 | (6.82) | 15.89 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 0.42 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.90 | (3.62) | 15.50 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.89 | (4.74) | 10.29 | |
| CATO | Cato Corporation | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 6.16 | (4.26) | 16.95 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.12 | (6.50) | 22.52 | |
| ZUMZ | Zumiez Inc | (0.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.80 | (5.74) | 16.30 |
Boot Barn Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Boot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Boot Barn Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Boot Barn stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boot Barn Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boot Barn based on analysis of Boot Barn hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boot Barn's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boot Barn's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0699 | 0.0622 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.7 | 0.97 |
Story Coverage note for Boot Barn
The number of cover stories for Boot Barn depends on current market conditions and Boot Barn's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boot Barn is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boot Barn's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Boot Barn Short Properties
Boot Barn's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boot Barn's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boot Barn Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boot Barn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boot Barn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.8 M |
Additional Tools for Boot Stock Analysis
When running Boot Barn's price analysis, check to measure Boot Barn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boot Barn is operating at the current time. Most of Boot Barn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boot Barn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boot Barn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boot Barn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.