Axita Cotton (India) Price Prediction

AXITA Stock   11.21  0.10  0.88%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Axita Cotton's share price is below 30 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Axita Cotton Limited, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

22

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Axita Cotton's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Axita Cotton Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Axita Cotton's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.32)
Using Axita Cotton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axita Cotton Limited from the perspective of Axita Cotton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axita Cotton to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axita because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Axita Cotton after-hype prediction price

    
  INR 11.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Axita Cotton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.859.1912.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Axita Cotton. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Axita Cotton's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Axita Cotton's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Axita Cotton Limited.

Axita Cotton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Axita Cotton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axita Cotton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axita Cotton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Axita Cotton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Axita Cotton's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axita Cotton's historical news coverage. Axita Cotton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.91 and 12.59, respectively. We have considered Axita Cotton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.21
11.25
After-hype Price
12.59
Upside
Axita Cotton is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axita Cotton Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Axita Cotton Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axita Cotton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axita Cotton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axita Cotton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.62 
1.34
  0.04 
  4.48 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.21
11.25
0.36 
2,233  
Notes

Axita Cotton Hype Timeline

Axita Cotton Limited is presently traded for 11.21on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 4.48. Axita is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.62%. The volatility of related hype on Axita Cotton is about 18.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.69. The company reported the revenue of 11.01 B. Net Income was 203.36 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 439.85 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Axita Cotton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Axita Cotton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Axita Cotton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axita Cotton's future price movements. Getting to know how Axita Cotton's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axita Cotton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RELIANCEReliance Industries Limited 21.15 5 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.68 (2.07) 5.51 
HDFCBANKHDFC Bank Limited 28.25 4 per month 1.18  0.01  2.25 (2.14) 5.51 
KINGFAKingfa Science Technology 0.65 3 per month 1.81  0.01  3.98 (3.65) 8.70 
RICOAUTORico Auto Industries 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.23) 3.21 (4.52) 9.85 
GATECHDVRGACM Technologies Limited 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.08 (5.45) 12.29 
COSMOFIRSTCOSMO FIRST LIMITED(12.20)3 per month 2.33  0.1  5.20 (3.92) 21.02 
DELTAMAGNTDelta Manufacturing Limited 7.09 2 per month 2.42  0.05  8.07 (4.49) 19.73 
TBZTribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri 24.32 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.65 (5.61) 17.64 
PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods 1.82 3 per month 2.57  0.02  5.30 (4.75) 12.83 
HEUBACHINDHeubach Colorants India 1.10 1 per month 2.90  0.01  4.20 (1.74) 28.13 

Axita Cotton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Axita price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axita using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axita charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Axita Cotton Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Axita Cotton stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axita Cotton Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axita Cotton based on analysis of Axita Cotton hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axita Cotton's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axita Cotton's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Axita Cotton

The number of cover stories for Axita Cotton depends on current market conditions and Axita Cotton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axita Cotton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axita Cotton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Axita Cotton Short Properties

Axita Cotton's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axita Cotton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axita Cotton Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axita Cotton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axita Cotton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57.7 M

Other Information on Investing in Axita Stock

Axita Cotton financial ratios help investors to determine whether Axita Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Axita with respect to the benefits of owning Axita Cotton security.